Alert: Japan Threat Level Change — 20 May 2026

situation report · 20 May 2026, 20:58 · Japan

GuardedAuto · Alert🌍JapanConfidence: highVersion: 1← Dashboard

Executive Summary

Japan threat level has changed to Guarded (composite score 25.3), driven primarily by economic (43.5) and military (35.9) indicators. The composite score has increased by 15.4 points over the past 24 hours.

Full Assessment

Automated Threat Assessment: Japan

**Composite Score:** 25.3 (Guarded)

**Assessed:** 20 May 2026 20:58 UTC

**Trigger:** Label change detected

**Active signals:** 58

Dimension Breakdown

| Dimension      | Score  |

|----------------|--------|

| Economic       |   43.5 |

| Military       |   35.9 |

| Information    |   14.0 |

| Humanitarian   |    0.6 |

| Diplomatic     |    0.0 |

Trend Analysis

**24h delta:** +15.4 — Rising

The threat level is **rising** (+15.4 pts). Heightened monitoring and analyst review are recommended.

Contributing Signals

**cyber_incident** (information) — score 70.0 · rule `normalization/direct_v1`

▸*(no source observations linked)*

**cyber_incident** (information) — score 70.0 · rule `normalization/direct_v1`

▸*(no source observations linked)*

**cyber_incident** (information) — score 70.0 · rule `normalization/direct_v1`

▸*(no source observations linked)*

**cyber_incident** (information) — score 70.0 · rule `normalization/direct_v1`

▸*(no source observations linked)*

**cyber_incident** (information) — score 70.0 · rule `normalization/direct_v1`

▸*(no source observations linked)*

**troop_mobilization** (military) — score 70.0 · rule `normalization/direct_v1`

▸*(no source observations linked)*

**cyber_incident** (information) — score 70.0 · rule `normalization/direct_v1`

▸*(no source observations linked)*

**cyber_incident** (information) — score 70.0 · rule `normalization/direct_v1`

▸*(no source observations linked)*

**cyber_incident** (information) — score 70.0 · rule `normalization/direct_v1`

▸*(no source observations linked)*

**refugee_movement** (humanitarian) — score 60.0 · rule `normalization/direct_v1`

▸*(no source observations linked)*

Data Provenance

This assessment was generated automatically from 58 active signal(s) ingested from open-source feeds. Scores are computed by the rule-based scoring engine (rule set hash: `d1e53fb01b11acec`).

This is a system-generated assessment. Analyst review is recommended before distributing externally.

Contributing Signals & Sources

58 signals · composite 25.3

military

militarytroop mobilization

normalization/direct_v1

70.0

0 obs

70

No source observations linked to this signal.

militarynaval activity

normalization/direct_v1

60.0

0 obs

60

No source observations linked to this signal.

militaryenergy disruption

normalization/direct_v1

30.0

0 obs

30

No source observations linked to this signal.

militaryunknown

normalization/direct_v1

30.0

0 obs

30

No source observations linked to this signal.

militarydefense procurement

normalization/direct_v1

30.0

0 obs

30

No source observations linked to this signal.

militaryunknown

normalization/direct_v1

30.0

0 obs

30

No source observations linked to this signal.

militaryenergy disruption

normalization/direct_v1

30.0

0 obs

30

No source observations linked to this signal.

militaryunknown

normalization/direct_v1

30.0

0 obs

30

No source observations linked to this signal.

militaryenergy disruption

normalization/direct_v1

30.0

0 obs

30

No source observations linked to this signal.

militaryunknown

normalization/direct_v1

30.0

0 obs

30

No source observations linked to this signal.

militaryunknown

normalization/direct_v1

30.0

0 obs

30

No source observations linked to this signal.

militaryenergy disruption

normalization/direct_v1

30.0

0 obs

30

No source observations linked to this signal.

militarysupply chain disruption

normalization/direct_v1

30.0

0 obs

30

No source observations linked to this signal.

militarydefense procurement

normalization/direct_v1

30.0

0 obs

30

No source observations linked to this signal.

militarysupply chain disruption

normalization/direct_v1

30.0

0 obs

30

No source observations linked to this signal.

militaryenergy disruption

normalization/direct_v1

30.0

0 obs

30

No source observations linked to this signal.

militaryunknown

normalization/direct_v1

30.0

0 obs

30

No source observations linked to this signal.

militaryunknown

normalization/direct_v1

30.0

0 obs

30

No source observations linked to this signal.

militaryunknown

normalization/direct_v1

30.0

0 obs

30

No source observations linked to this signal.

militaryunknown

normalization/direct_v1

30.0

0 obs

30

No source observations linked to this signal.

militaryunknown

normalization/direct_v1

30.0

0 obs

30

No source observations linked to this signal.

militaryunknown

normalization/direct_v1

30.0

0 obs

30

No source observations linked to this signal.

militaryunknown

normalization/direct_v1

30.0

0 obs

30

No source observations linked to this signal.

militaryunknown

normalization/direct_v1

30.0

0 obs

30

No source observations linked to this signal.

militaryunknown

normalization/direct_v1

30.0

0 obs

30

No source observations linked to this signal.

militarydefense procurement

normalization/direct_v1

30.0

0 obs

30

No source observations linked to this signal.

militaryunknown

normalization/direct_v1

30.0

0 obs

30

No source observations linked to this signal.

militaryunknown

normalization/direct_v1

30.0

0 obs

30

No source observations linked to this signal.

militaryunknown

normalization/direct_v1

30.0

0 obs

30

No source observations linked to this signal.

militarysupply chain disruption

normalization/direct_v1

30.0

0 obs

30

No source observations linked to this signal.

militaryunknown

normalization/direct_v1

30.0

0 obs

30

No source observations linked to this signal.

militarydefense procurement

normalization/direct_v1

30.0

0 obs

30

No source observations linked to this signal.

militaryunknown

normalization/direct_v1

30.0

0 obs

30

No source observations linked to this signal.

militarydefense procurement

normalization/direct_v1

30.0

0 obs

30

No source observations linked to this signal.

militaryunknown

normalization/direct_v1

30.0

0 obs

30

No source observations linked to this signal.

militaryunknown

normalization/direct_v1

30.0

0 obs

30

No source observations linked to this signal.

militarydefense procurement

normalization/direct_v1

30.0

0 obs

30

No source observations linked to this signal.

militaryunknown

normalization/direct_v1

30.0

0 obs

30

No source observations linked to this signal.

militaryunknown

normalization/direct_v1

30.0

0 obs

30

No source observations linked to this signal.

militaryenergy disruption

normalization/direct_v1

30.0

0 obs

30

No source observations linked to this signal.

militaryunknown

normalization/direct_v1

30.0

0 obs

30

No source observations linked to this signal.

militaryunknown

normalization/direct_v1

30.0

0 obs

30

No source observations linked to this signal.

militaryunknown

normalization/direct_v1

30.0

0 obs

30

No source observations linked to this signal.

diplomatic

diplomaticdiplomatic protest

normalization/direct_v1

30.0

0 obs

30

No source observations linked to this signal.

diplomaticdiplomatic protest

normalization/direct_v1

30.0

0 obs

30

No source observations linked to this signal.

diplomaticdiplomatic protest

normalization/direct_v1

30.0

0 obs

30

No source observations linked to this signal.

diplomaticdiplomatic protest

normalization/direct_v1

30.0

0 obs

30

No source observations linked to this signal.

economic

economiceconomic disruption

normalization/direct_v1

50.0

0 obs

50

No source observations linked to this signal.

information

informationcyber incident

normalization/direct_v1

70.0

0 obs

70

No source observations linked to this signal.

informationcyber incident

normalization/direct_v1

70.0

0 obs

70

No source observations linked to this signal.

informationcyber incident

normalization/direct_v1

70.0

0 obs

70

No source observations linked to this signal.

informationcyber incident

normalization/direct_v1

70.0

0 obs

70

No source observations linked to this signal.

informationcyber incident

normalization/direct_v1

70.0

0 obs

70

No source observations linked to this signal.

informationcyber incident

normalization/direct_v1

70.0

0 obs

70

No source observations linked to this signal.

informationcyber incident

normalization/direct_v1

70.0

0 obs

70

No source observations linked to this signal.

informationcyber incident

normalization/direct_v1

70.0

0 obs

70

No source observations linked to this signal.

humanitarian

humanitarianrefugee movement

normalization/direct_v1

60.0

0 obs

60

No source observations linked to this signal.

humanitarianrefugee movement

normalization/direct_v1

60.0

0 obs

60

No source observations linked to this signal.