Turkey
LowDimension Scores
Rule-based per-dimension breakdown
Dimension Radar
Relative weight of each analytical dimension
Score Trend
30-day composite score history — hover for details
Top Indicators
Highest-contributing signals by weight × decay
Contribution = signal weight × decayed value. Source: rule engine trace.
Evidence Timeline
Source events that contributed to this score
TRC National Societies Support Fund (NSSF) Infographic - May 2026
Moderatehumanitarian/refugee_movementTürkiye - Severe weather and floods (Türkiye Disaster and Emergency Management - AFAD, media, MGM - Turkish State Meteorological Service) (ECHO Daily Flash of 14 May 2026)
Moderatemilitary/armed_clashTürkiye: Cash-based Interventions Technical Working Group (CBI TWG) National Meeting Minutes 12 May 2026, Online Meeting [EN/TR]
Moderatecyber/incidentTürkiye: Cash Based Interventions Technical Working Group Online (May 12, 2026)[Presentation]
Lowunknown/unmappedTurkey targets press freedom in trial of DW's Alican Uludag
Lowunknown/unmappedSuspect arrested in possession of over 400 currency debit cards destined for money laundering via UAE and Turkey
Lowunknown/unmappedNew Turkish ICBM signals nuclear deterrence ambitions beyond NATO
Moderatecyber/incidentArmenia welcomes Turkey move to lift bilateral trade ban
Moderateeconomic/sanctionTurkey opens bilateral trade with Armenia after decades of closure
Moderatecyber/incidentTürkiye: 3RP Türkiye Quarterly Newsletter (Issue #1, January - March 2026) [EN/TR]
Moderatehumanitarian/refugee_movementUN High Commissioner for Refugees engages with global leaders in Türkiye (April 2026)
Moderatehumanitarian/refugee_movementTurkey’s STM debuts new unmanned systems, is ‘really open’ to Gulf collaboration
Moderatecyber/incidentTurkey’s Aselsan eyes growth in networked, mass-producible weapons, CEO says
Lowunknown/unmappedCanada eyes Turkey as a fellow mid-power ally in weapons development
Lowunknown/unmappedEU will provide €20 million in humanitarian aid for vulnerable refugees and host communities in Türkiye in 2026
Moderatehumanitarian/refugee_movementTurkey touts propellant breakthrough for Yıldırımhan long-range ballistic missile
Lownuclear/missile_testAn Analysis of Afghan Onward Movements from Iran to Türkiye
Moderatecyber/incidentBrush turkey used for 'target practice' survives six months with arrow in back
Lowunknown/unmappedTurkey’s prosecutors recorded 17mn people as “suspects” in 2025
Lowunknown/unmappedTurkish exercise sees Libya’s rival forces train together for second time within weeks
Lowunknown/unmappedHealth needs assessment report in Istanbul, Gaziantep & Hatay
Moderatehumanitarian/refugee_movementTürkiye - Severe weather (media, Turkish State Meteorological Service) (ECHO Daily Flash of 5 May 2026)
Moderatemilitary/armed_clashTürkiye - Severe weather (media, Turkish State Meteorological Service) (ECHO Daily Flash of 5 May 2026)
Moderatemilitary/armed_clashWeather tracker: Cold spells in Greece and Turkey, and storms in Bangladesh
Moderatecyber/incidentWeather tracker: Cold spells in Greece and Turkey, and storms in Bangladesh
Moderatecyber/incidentAfrica: Turkey Raises Residence Permit Fee By 930 Percent for Nigerians, 36 Other African Countries
Moderatecyber/incidentMonday, 4 May 2026
Lowunknown/unmappedSpanish PM Pedro Sanchez’s plane makes emergency landing in Turkey
Lowunknown/unmappedSpanish PM Pedro Sánchez’s plane makes emergency landing in Turkey
Lowunknown/unmappedWFP Türkiye Country Brief, April 2026 (Reporting period: March 2026)
Moderatehumanitarian/refugee_movementWFP Türkiye Country Brief, April 2026 (Reporting period: March 2026)
Moderatehumanitarian/refugee_movementTurkish police arrest more than 500 people at May Day rallies
Lowunknown/unmappedTurkish police arrest more than 500 people at May Day rallies
Lowunknown/unmappedUAE strikes back at Turkey in fight to become global investor haven
Moderatecyber/incidentTürkiye | Ukraine and Impacted Countries Emergency Appeal - Final Report (MGR65002), March 2026
Moderatehumanitarian/refugee_movementTürkiye: Basic Needs Working Group - National Meeting Minutes (21 April 2026)
Lowunknown/unmappedTürkiye: Basic Needs Working Group - National Meeting Minutes (21 April 2026) [TR]
Lowunknown/unmappedTürkiye Market Bulletin: Issue No. 35, Quarter 3 & 4 2025 (July - December)
Moderatecyber/incidentTürkiye: Elazığ Camp Post Distribution Monitoring Report, Q4/2025
Moderatecyber/incidentTürkiye: In-camp Post Distribution Monitoring Report, Q3/2025
Loweconomic/food_securityTürkiye: In-camp Post Distribution Monitoring Report, Q1/2026
Moderatecyber/incidentTürkiye: Cash-for-Food Assistance in Earthquake Affected Region - Baseline Report (March 2026)
Lowdiplomatic/protestTürkiye: Cash for Food Assistance in Container Cities - Post-Distribution Monitoring Report, Q4 2025
Loweconomic/food_securityTürkiye: Cash for Food Assistance in Container Cities - Post-Distribution Monitoring Report, Q2 2025
Loweconomic/food_securityTürkiye: Cash-for-Food Assistance in Earthquake Affected Region - Baseline Report (March 2026)
Lowdiplomatic/protestTürkiye: Protection Sector Dashboard - Izmir - April 2026
Lowunknown/unmappedTürkiye: Protection Sector Dashboard - Marmara - April 2026
Lowunknown/unmappedSoutheast Türkiye: Protection Sector Achievements - April 2026
Lowunknown/unmappedTürkiye: Protection Sector Achievements - April 2026
Lowunknown/unmappedTürkiye: Inter-Sector Dataset - April 2026
Lowunknown/unmapped
Market Signal Indicators
26 analytical signals · derived from current threat score
⚠ Analytical purposes only — not investment advice. Consult a qualified financial adviser before trading.
Turkey composite threat score below 25 (Low) — regional calm reduces risk premium on Turkish equities; consider TUR ETF exposure.
market/national_equity_buy_tur_v1
Composite threat score below 25 (Low range) — geopolitical calm; safe-haven premium may compress as risk-on appetite returns.
market/safe_haven_sell_v1
Composite threat score below 25 (Low range) — geopolitical calm; safe-haven premium may compress as risk-on appetite returns.
market/safe_haven_sell_v1
Economic threat score below 25 (Low) — geopolitical supply-side risk premium unwinding; energy stocks that outperformed during elevated tension periods may face de-rating as conflict-driven price support recedes.
market/energy_stocks_sell_v1
Economic threat score below 25 (Low) — geopolitical supply-side risk premium unwinding; energy stocks that outperformed during elevated tension periods may face de-rating as conflict-driven price support recedes.
market/energy_stocks_sell_v1
Economic threat score below 25 (Low) — shipping lane normalisation compresses freight rate premium; tanker operators that re-rated on disruption may mean-revert.
market/shipping_sell_v1
Economic threat score below 25 (Low) — supply-chain normalisation reduces critical mineral scarcity premium; REMX and MP may de-rate.
market/critical_minerals_sell_v1
Economic threat score below 25 (Low) — supply-chain normalisation reduces critical mineral scarcity premium; REMX and MP may de-rate.
market/critical_minerals_sell_v1
Economic threat score below 25 (Low) — geopolitical supply-side risk premium unwinding; energy stocks that outperformed during elevated tension periods may face de-rating as conflict-driven price support recedes.
market/energy_stocks_sell_v1
Economic threat score below 25 (Low) — shipping lane normalisation compresses freight rate premium; tanker operators that re-rated on disruption may mean-revert.
market/shipping_sell_v1
Economic threat score below 25 (Low) — geopolitical supply-side risk premium unwinding; energy stocks that outperformed during elevated tension periods may face de-rating as conflict-driven price support recedes.
market/energy_stocks_sell_v1
Economic threat score below 25 (Low) — geopolitical supply-side risk premium unwinding; energy stocks that outperformed during elevated tension periods may face de-rating as conflict-driven price support recedes.
market/energy_stocks_sell_v1
Economic threat score below 25 (Low) — geopolitical supply-side risk premium unwinding; energy stocks that outperformed during elevated tension periods may face de-rating as conflict-driven price support recedes.
market/energy_stocks_sell_v1
Economic threat score below 25 (Low) — shipping lane normalisation compresses freight rate premium; tanker operators that re-rated on disruption may mean-revert.
market/shipping_sell_v1
Military threat score below 25 (Low) — cross-strait and peninsula calm reduces geopolitical risk premium in semiconductor valuations; supply-chain disruption fears recede.
market/semiconductor_sell_v1
Military threat score below 25 (Low range) — de-escalation signals; defense sector premium may compress as conflict-related demand subsides.
market/defense_sell_v1
Military threat score below 25 (Low range) — de-escalation signals; defense sector premium may compress as conflict-related demand subsides.
market/defense_sell_v1
Military threat score below 25 (Low range) — de-escalation signals; defense sector premium may compress as conflict-related demand subsides.
market/defense_sell_v1
Military threat score below 25 (Low range) — de-escalation signals; defense sector premium may compress as conflict-related demand subsides.
market/defense_sell_v1
Military threat score below 25 (Low range) — de-escalation signals; defense sector premium may compress as conflict-related demand subsides.
market/defense_sell_v1
Military threat score below 25 (Low range) — de-escalation signals; defense sector premium may compress as conflict-related demand subsides.
market/defense_sell_v1
Military threat score below 25 (Low range) — de-escalation signals; defense sector premium may compress as conflict-related demand subsides.
market/defense_sell_v1
Military threat score below 25 (Low) — cross-strait and peninsula calm reduces geopolitical risk premium in semiconductor valuations; supply-chain disruption fears recede.
market/semiconductor_sell_v1
Military threat score below 25 (Low) — cross-strait and peninsula calm reduces geopolitical risk premium in semiconductor valuations; supply-chain disruption fears recede.
market/semiconductor_sell_v1
Military threat score below 25 (Low) — cross-strait and peninsula calm reduces geopolitical risk premium in semiconductor valuations; supply-chain disruption fears recede.
market/semiconductor_sell_v1
Military threat score below 25 (Low range) — de-escalation signals; defense sector premium may compress as conflict-related demand subsides.
market/defense_sell_v1
Score Explanation
Engine 1.0.0 · Rule hash a3f8c2d1 · Sun, 22 Mar 2026 06:00:00 GMT
Reconstruction Check
Σ contributions = 70.975(reported composite: 72.5)