India

Low
country·IND·Score 14.6→ 0.0
Analyst Review
7-day trend:→ 0.0·Engine 1.0.0·Rule hash d1e53fb0

Dimension Scores

Rule-based per-dimension breakdown

MILMilitary
4
DIPDiplomatic
0
ECOEconomic
47
INFInformation
43
HUMHumanitarian
1

Dimension Radar

Relative weight of each analytical dimension

255075Military4.39Diplomatic0Economic47.19Information43Humanitarian1.01

Score Trend

30-day composite score history — hover for details

025507510019 Apr22 Apr24 Apr

Top Indicators

Highest-contributing signals by weight × decay

humanitarian displacement
41.2
diplomatic withdrawal
38.4
information operations
37.7
cyber intrusion
33.1
troop mobilisation
30.2
diplomatic rhetoric
28.8
sanctions pressure
28.5
trade disruption
26.1

Contribution = signal weight × decayed value. Source: rule engine trace.

Evidence Timeline

Source events that contributed to this score

  1. MSCI’s Indonesia purge exposes a deeper market crisis

    20 May 2026·military·Asia Times
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  2. Nigeria: Lecturers At University of Cross River Begin Indefinite Strike

    20 May 2026·military·AllAfrica — Pan-African News
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  3. South Africa: Rising Fuel Prices Drive Higher Inflation

    20 May 2026·military·AllAfrica — Pan-African News
    Low
    economic/energy_disruption
  4. India (Uttar Pradesh) | Recent severe weather - DG ECHO Daily Map | 19/05/2026

    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  5. India - Severe weather and floods, update (NDMI, media, IMD) (ECHO Daily Flash of 18 May 2026)

    Moderate
    military/armed_clash
  6. India - Severe weather (NDMA, India Meteorological Department, media) (ECHO Daily Flash of 15 May 2026)

    Moderate
    cyber/incident
  7. Saarathi Alert - Uttar Pradesh Storm 2026 (14 May 2026)

    Moderate
    cyber/incident
  8. US reportedly dropped fraud charges against Indian billionaire after he hired Trump’s lawyer

    20 May 2026·military·The Guardian World News
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  9. Starmer’s top advisers knew about ‘indefensible’ journalists probe, documents reveal

    20 May 2026·military·The Guardian World News
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  10. Freiburg's Europa League final proof another way can work

    20 May 2026·military·Deutsche Welle English
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  11. Iconic German musician Udo Lindenberg turns 80

    20 May 2026·military·Deutsche Welle English
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  12. 'FIFA got greedy' ― Why football fans in India may not be able to watch World Cup games on TV this year

    20 May 2026·military·Deutsche Welle English
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  13. ‘Why don’t you take questions, Mr Modi?’

    20 May 2026·military·Dawn — Pakistan
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  14. Paedophile former magistrate to be released on home detention

    20 May 2026·information·ABC Australia — World News
    Moderate
    cyber/incident
  15. Eight Egyptians held for ransom on UAE-registered oil tanker off Somali coast

    20 May 2026·military·Mada Masr — Egypt
    Low
    economic/energy_disruption
  16. South Africa: Rising Fuel Prices Drive Higher Inflation

    20 May 2026·military·AllAfrica — Pan-African News
    Low
    economic/energy_disruption
  17. Nigeria: Lecturers At University of Cross River Begin Indefinite Strike

    20 May 2026·military·AllAfrica — Pan-African News
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  18. Potential $4.2B military helicopter sale for S. Korea approved by Washington

    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  19. CVE-2026-31777 ALSA: ctxfi: Check the error for index mapping

    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  20. Rijksoverheid wordt efficiënter en effectiever – minder externe inhuur, stijging aantal ambtenaren vlakt af

    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  21. Defensie hervat oefeningen maar met beperkingen in geval van extreme droogte

    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  22. Essay | Van buiten functioneert de Navo nog, maar de ziel is al verdwenen

    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  23. The 156,000 and the 1.4 Billion

    20 May 2026·military·Foreign Policy
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  24. MSCI’s Indonesia purge exposes a deeper market crisis

    20 May 2026·military·Asia Times
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  25. Indonesian Rupiah Falls to New Low as Global Oil Prices Surge

    20 May 2026·military·The Diplomat
    Low
    economic/energy_disruption
  26. India Just Signed Its Most Consequential Chip Deal. The Hard Part Starts Now.

    20 May 2026·military·The Diplomat
    Low
    economic/supply_chain
  27. India’s GDP Revisions Explained: What Changed and Why it Matters

    20 May 2026·military·The Diplomat
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  28. India Is Hosting the 4th India-Africa Forum Summit: Why Now and What to Expect?

    20 May 2026·military·The Diplomat
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  29. With an ‘Obstacle’ Gone, Will the Indian Government Finally Seal the Teesta Deal With Bangladesh?

    20 May 2026·military·The Diplomat
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  30. Why Did West Bengal Decline, and Can the BJP Revive It?

    20 May 2026·military·The Diplomat
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  31. Why India Is Growing Suspicious of Nepal’s New Government

    20 May 2026·military·The Diplomat
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  32. Team smashed by more than 1,100 points in four games forfeits season

    13 May 2026·military·ABC Australia — World News
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  33. Researchers say AI just broke every benchmark for autonomous cyber capability

    13 May 2026·information·CyberScoop
    Moderate
    cyber/incident
  34. India Still Stands By BRICS

    13 May 2026·military·Foreign Policy
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  35. Man dies in Sydney prison unit that watchdog wanted shut down because it ‘cannot provide a safe environment’

    13 May 2026·military·The Guardian World News
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  36. Kevin Warsh confirmed as new US Federal Reserve chair amid controversy

    13 May 2026·military·Al Jazeera English — World News
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  37. Alex Murdaugh’s murder convictions overturned by South Carolina supreme court

    13 May 2026·military·The Guardian World News
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  38. Modi Calls on Indians to Consume Less Petrol, Postpone Travel Abroad. He Isn’t Leading by Example

    13 May 2026·military·The Diplomat
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  39. Alex Murdaugh’s murder convictions overturned by South Carolina supreme court

    13 May 2026·military·The Guardian World News
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  40. Church leaders killed in latest ethnic violence in India’s Manipur

    13 May 2026·diplomatic·Al Jazeera English — World News
    Low
    diplomatic/protest
  41. Starmer has ‘full confidence’ in Streeting despite health secretary’s allies saying he is planning to resign – as it happened

    13 May 2026·information·The Guardian World News
    Moderate
    cyber/incident
  42. Starmer has ‘full confidence’ in Streeting despite health secretary’s allies saying he is planning to resign – UK politics live

    13 May 2026·information·The Guardian World News
    Moderate
    cyber/incident
  43. Starmer has ‘full confidence’ in Streeting despite health secretary’s allies saying he is planning to resign – UK politics live

    13 May 2026·information·The Guardian World News
    Moderate
    cyber/incident
  44. India’s salt workers brave brutal heat on Gujarat’s desert plains

    13 May 2026·information·Al Jazeera English — World News
    Moderate
    cyber/incident
  45. Starmer has ‘full confidence’ in Streeting despite health secretary’s allies saying he is planning to resign – UK politics live

    13 May 2026·information·The Guardian World News
    Moderate
    cyber/incident
  46. Security forces gun down 30 terrorists in multiple IBOs in KP: ISPR

    Moderate
    cyber/incident
  47. Security forces kill 23 Indian proxy terrorists in KP's Kurram

    Moderate
    cyber/incident
  48. Starmer has ‘full confidence’ in Streeting despite health secretary’s allies saying he is planning to resign – UK politics live

    13 May 2026·information·The Guardian World News
    Moderate
    cyber/incident
  49. Alex Murdaugh’s murder convictions overturned by South Carolina supreme court

    13 May 2026·military·The Guardian World News
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  50. Starmer has ‘full confidence’ in Streeting despite health secretary’s allies saying he is planning to resign – UK politics live

    13 May 2026·information·The Guardian World News
    Moderate
    cyber/incident

Market Signal Indicators

15 analytical signals · derived from current threat score

⚠ Analytical purposes only — not investment advice. Consult a qualified financial adviser before trading.

BUY1 instrument
INDAiShares MSCI India ETF (BSE / SENSEX)
composite 14.6

India composite threat score below 25 (Low) — geopolitical calm supports Indian equity inflows and valuation re-rating; consider INDA exposure.

market/national_equity_buy_ind_v1

SELL14 instruments
GLDSPDR Gold Shares ETF
composite 14.6

Composite threat score below 25 (Low range) — geopolitical calm; safe-haven premium may compress as risk-on appetite returns.

market/safe_haven_sell_v1

TLTiShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
composite 14.6

Composite threat score below 25 (Low range) — geopolitical calm; safe-haven premium may compress as risk-on appetite returns.

market/safe_haven_sell_v1

ASMLASML Holding NV (NASDAQ-listed)
military 4.4

Military threat score below 25 (Low) — cross-strait and peninsula calm reduces geopolitical risk premium in semiconductor valuations; supply-chain disruption fears recede.

market/semiconductor_sell_v1

GDGeneral Dynamics Corp
military 4.4

Military threat score below 25 (Low range) — de-escalation signals; defense sector premium may compress as conflict-related demand subsides.

market/defense_sell_v1

ITAiShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF
military 4.4

Military threat score below 25 (Low range) — de-escalation signals; defense sector premium may compress as conflict-related demand subsides.

market/defense_sell_v1

LHXL3Harris Technologies Inc
military 4.4

Military threat score below 25 (Low range) — de-escalation signals; defense sector premium may compress as conflict-related demand subsides.

market/defense_sell_v1

LMTLockheed Martin Corp
military 4.4

Military threat score below 25 (Low range) — de-escalation signals; defense sector premium may compress as conflict-related demand subsides.

market/defense_sell_v1

NOCNorthrop Grumman Corp
military 4.4

Military threat score below 25 (Low range) — de-escalation signals; defense sector premium may compress as conflict-related demand subsides.

market/defense_sell_v1

PPAInvesco Aerospace & Defense ETF
military 4.4

Military threat score below 25 (Low range) — de-escalation signals; defense sector premium may compress as conflict-related demand subsides.

market/defense_sell_v1

RTXRTX Corporation
military 4.4

Military threat score below 25 (Low range) — de-escalation signals; defense sector premium may compress as conflict-related demand subsides.

market/defense_sell_v1

SMHVanEck Semiconductor ETF
military 4.4

Military threat score below 25 (Low) — cross-strait and peninsula calm reduces geopolitical risk premium in semiconductor valuations; supply-chain disruption fears recede.

market/semiconductor_sell_v1

SOXXiShares Semiconductor ETF
military 4.4

Military threat score below 25 (Low) — cross-strait and peninsula calm reduces geopolitical risk premium in semiconductor valuations; supply-chain disruption fears recede.

market/semiconductor_sell_v1

TSMTaiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSMC ADR)
military 4.4

Military threat score below 25 (Low) — cross-strait and peninsula calm reduces geopolitical risk premium in semiconductor valuations; supply-chain disruption fears recede.

market/semiconductor_sell_v1

XARSPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF
military 4.4

Military threat score below 25 (Low range) — de-escalation signals; defense sector premium may compress as conflict-related demand subsides.

market/defense_sell_v1

Score Explanation

Engine 1.0.0 · Rule hash a3f8c2d1 · Sun, 22 Mar 2026 06:00:00 GMT

Reconstruction Check

military: 29.470diplomatic: 17.025economic: 11.060information: 7.180humanitarian: 6.240

Σ contributions = 70.975(reported composite: 72.5)