China
LowDimension Scores
Rule-based per-dimension breakdown
Dimension Radar
Relative weight of each analytical dimension
Score Trend
30-day composite score history — hover for details
Top Indicators
Highest-contributing signals by weight × decay
Contribution = signal weight × decayed value. Source: rule engine trace.
Evidence Timeline
Source events that contributed to this score
British Steel crisis derails China’s tariff-bypass strategy
Loweconomic/trade_warThe 3-body problem of the dollar-yen exchange rate (hint: China)
Moderatecyber/incidentChina - Earthquake (GDACS, USGS, media) (ECHO Daily Flash of 18 May 2026)
Moderatehumanitarian/refugee_movementSame but different: how Xi and China welcomed Trump and Putin
Moderatecyber/incidentChina goes electric, but can it get off coal?
Lowunknown/unmappedGerman authorities arrest 2 on China high-tech espionage allegations
Lowunknown/unmappedNumbers of Tibetan exiles plummet as China tightens grip
Lowunknown/unmappedPTI willing to hold dialogue with govt conditional on Imran’s release
Lowdiplomatic/protestPutin's China visit looked like Trump's but couldn't have been more different
Lowunknown/unmappedTrump and Xi Meet in Beijing Amid Push to Ease U.S.-China Tensions
Lowunknown/unmappedRubio Warns China amid Ship Seizure in the Strait of Hormuz
Loweconomic/energy_disruptionU.S. and China Agree to Keep Strait of Hormuz Open
Loweconomic/energy_disruptionDonald Trump: Chinese President Offered Help to Reopen the Strait of Hormuz
Loweconomic/energy_disruption26 Nations Call for Reopening of Strait of Hormuz
Loweconomic/energy_disruptionFormer University of Michigan researcher accused of hiding Chinese military drone ties
Lowaviation/flight_disruptionIs the West de-risking from China or containing its economy?
Moderateeconomic/disruptionVPRO Tegenlicht Meet Up | Fiona De Cuyper: ‘Koude oorlog op de Noordpool’
Moderatecyber/incidentWhy China Is Cracking Down on Elite Education
Lowunknown/unmappedWhat in the World?
Lowunknown/unmappedArgentina in talks to extend China currency swap even as repayments near completion
Lowunknown/unmappedOn Trump’s Heels, Putin Gets a Lavish Welcome in China but No Blockbuster Deals
Lowunknown/unmappedPutin Arrives in Beijing With Entourage of Ministers and CEOs
Loweconomic/energy_disruptionPutin Expected to Visit China Next Week, Reports Say
Moderatecyber/incidentBritish Steel crisis derails China’s tariff-bypass strategy
Loweconomic/trade_warThe 3-body problem of the dollar-yen exchange rate (hint: China)
Moderatecyber/incidentBond markets overpowering the AI trade
Loweconomic/trade_warTrump-Xi summit reset cause for concern in Indonesia
Lowunknown/unmappedPakistan and the Trump-Xi Summit in Beijing
Moderatecyber/incidentChina’s Plan for Winning the AI Race Hinges on the Token Economy, Not Chips
Lowunknown/unmappedHow China’s Population Stopped Noticing Their Country Had Been Sealed
Lowunknown/unmappedHow China Built a Closure That Cannot Leak
Lowunknown/unmappedWhat Does a ‘Constructive’ China-US Relationship Mean for India?
Lowunknown/unmappedTibet’s Erasure From the Trump-Xi Summit Is a Huge Win for China
Lowunknown/unmappedDuterte vs Marcos: The Political Feud Tearing Apart the Philippines
Moderatemilitary/armed_clashWhile Trump Sought Business Deals, Beijing Came Prepared to Redefine China-US Relations
Moderatecyber/incidentTajikistan and China Sign Permanent Friendship Treaty
Moderatehumanitarian/refugee_movementTrump, Xi Seek ‘New Chapter in China-US Relations’
Lowunknown/unmappedPakistan’s Biggest Film Is Going to China. The Real Test for Cultural Ties Comes After.
Lowunknown/unmappedWebworm Deploys EchoCreep and GraphWorm Backdoors Using Discord and MS Graph API
Moderatecyber/apt_activityLive: Cost of war on agenda as Trump meets Xi, UAE denies Netanyahu's secret visit
Lowunknown/unmappedBoth Trump and Xi Overestimate Themselves
Lowunknown/unmappedTrump Has One Major Focus While in China: Trade
Lowunknown/unmappedThere’s No Need to Fear China’s Economy
Lowunknown/unmappedBeijing’s Quest for Uniformity May Be Its Achilles’ Heel
Lowunknown/unmappedWhat Happened to Trump the China Hawk?
Lowunknown/unmappedChina’s Rare-Earth Card Looms Over Trump-Xi Summit
Lowunknown/unmappedTrade, tech, and rare earths to dominate Trump's China trip
Loweconomic/supply_chainTrump Has One Major Focus While in China: Trade
Lowunknown/unmappedAs Trump readies to meet Xi, experts say he is ‘desperate for a win’
Moderatecyber/incidentTrump shares fake quotes, falsely accuses Obama of treason in late-night rant
Moderatecyber/incident
Market Signal Indicators
40 analytical signals · derived from current threat score
⚠ Analytical purposes only — not investment advice. Consult a qualified financial adviser before trading.
China composite threat score below 25 (Low) — geopolitical calm reduces foreign investor risk aversion toward Chinese equities; consider FXI/MCHI.
market/national_equity_buy_chn_v1
China composite threat score below 25 (Low) — geopolitical calm reduces foreign investor risk aversion toward Chinese equities; consider FXI/MCHI.
market/national_equity_buy_chn_v1
Economic threat score above 55 (Elevated) — sanctions, supply chain weaponisation, or China critical mineral export restrictions signal acute scarcity for defense electronics and EV battery supply chains. REMX provides broad exposure; MP Materials benefits as the only active US rare earth producer; ALB/SQM/LTHM benefit from lithium scarcity driven by conflict-zone supply disruption and EV demand surge.
market/critical_minerals_buy_v1
Economic threat score above 60 (Elevated) — sanctions, shipping disruption, or energy infrastructure attacks signal supply-side oil price pressure. Integrated majors (XOM, CVX, SHEL, BP, TTE) benefit from higher realised prices; oilfield services (SLB, HAL) benefit from upstream capex surges as producers rush to lock in volumes.
market/energy_stocks_buy_v1
Economic threat score above 60 (Elevated) — sanctions, shipping disruption, or energy infrastructure attacks signal supply-side oil price pressure. Integrated majors (XOM, CVX, SHEL, BP, TTE) benefit from higher realised prices; oilfield services (SLB, HAL) benefit from upstream capex surges as producers rush to lock in volumes.
market/energy_stocks_buy_v1
Economic threat score above 60 (Elevated) — sanctions, shipping disruption, or energy infrastructure attacks signal supply-side oil price pressure. Integrated majors (XOM, CVX, SHEL, BP, TTE) benefit from higher realised prices; oilfield services (SLB, HAL) benefit from upstream capex surges as producers rush to lock in volumes.
market/energy_stocks_buy_v1
Economic threat score above 60 (Elevated range) — sanctions, trade disruption, or resource competition detected; commodity safe-haven demand likely.
market/commodity_buy_v1
Economic threat score above 60 (Elevated) — shipping lane disruptions (Red Sea Houthi attacks, Hormuz tensions, Suez incidents) reduce effective global fleet capacity as vessels reroute around danger zones, extending voyage times 10-20 days and lifting spot rates 3-4×. Tanker operators (FRO, STNG, NAT, HAFNI) benefit from higher crude and product freight rates; ZIM benefits when container capacity tightens.
market/shipping_buy_v1
Economic threat score above 60 (Elevated range) — sanctions, trade disruption, or resource competition detected; commodity safe-haven demand likely.
market/commodity_buy_v1
Economic threat score above 60 (Elevated) — shipping lane disruptions (Red Sea Houthi attacks, Hormuz tensions, Suez incidents) reduce effective global fleet capacity as vessels reroute around danger zones, extending voyage times 10-20 days and lifting spot rates 3-4×. Tanker operators (FRO, STNG, NAT, HAFNI) benefit from higher crude and product freight rates; ZIM benefits when container capacity tightens.
market/shipping_buy_v1
Economic threat score above 60 (Elevated) — sanctions, shipping disruption, or energy infrastructure attacks signal supply-side oil price pressure. Integrated majors (XOM, CVX, SHEL, BP, TTE) benefit from higher realised prices; oilfield services (SLB, HAL) benefit from upstream capex surges as producers rush to lock in volumes.
market/energy_stocks_buy_v1
Economic threat score above 55 (Elevated) — sanctions, supply chain weaponisation, or China critical mineral export restrictions signal acute scarcity for defense electronics and EV battery supply chains. REMX provides broad exposure; MP Materials benefits as the only active US rare earth producer; ALB/SQM/LTHM benefit from lithium scarcity driven by conflict-zone supply disruption and EV demand surge.
market/critical_minerals_buy_v1
Economic threat score above 55 (Elevated) — sanctions, supply chain weaponisation, or China critical mineral export restrictions signal acute scarcity for defense electronics and EV battery supply chains. REMX provides broad exposure; MP Materials benefits as the only active US rare earth producer; ALB/SQM/LTHM benefit from lithium scarcity driven by conflict-zone supply disruption and EV demand surge.
market/critical_minerals_buy_v1
Economic threat score above 60 (Elevated) — shipping lane disruptions (Red Sea Houthi attacks, Hormuz tensions, Suez incidents) reduce effective global fleet capacity as vessels reroute around danger zones, extending voyage times 10-20 days and lifting spot rates 3-4×. Tanker operators (FRO, STNG, NAT, HAFNI) benefit from higher crude and product freight rates; ZIM benefits when container capacity tightens.
market/shipping_buy_v1
Economic threat score above 60 (Elevated) — sanctions, shipping disruption, or energy infrastructure attacks signal supply-side oil price pressure. Integrated majors (XOM, CVX, SHEL, BP, TTE) benefit from higher realised prices; oilfield services (SLB, HAL) benefit from upstream capex surges as producers rush to lock in volumes.
market/energy_stocks_buy_v1
Economic threat score above 55 (Elevated) — sanctions, supply chain weaponisation, or China critical mineral export restrictions signal acute scarcity for defense electronics and EV battery supply chains. REMX provides broad exposure; MP Materials benefits as the only active US rare earth producer; ALB/SQM/LTHM benefit from lithium scarcity driven by conflict-zone supply disruption and EV demand surge.
market/critical_minerals_buy_v1
Economic threat score above 60 (Elevated) — sanctions, shipping disruption, or energy infrastructure attacks signal supply-side oil price pressure. Integrated majors (XOM, CVX, SHEL, BP, TTE) benefit from higher realised prices; oilfield services (SLB, HAL) benefit from upstream capex surges as producers rush to lock in volumes.
market/energy_stocks_buy_v1
Economic threat score above 60 (Elevated) — sanctions, shipping disruption, or energy infrastructure attacks signal supply-side oil price pressure. Integrated majors (XOM, CVX, SHEL, BP, TTE) benefit from higher realised prices; oilfield services (SLB, HAL) benefit from upstream capex surges as producers rush to lock in volumes.
market/energy_stocks_buy_v1
Economic threat score above 55 (Elevated) — sanctions, supply chain weaponisation, or China critical mineral export restrictions signal acute scarcity for defense electronics and EV battery supply chains. REMX provides broad exposure; MP Materials benefits as the only active US rare earth producer; ALB/SQM/LTHM benefit from lithium scarcity driven by conflict-zone supply disruption and EV demand surge.
market/critical_minerals_buy_v1
Economic threat score above 60 (Elevated) — shipping lane disruptions (Red Sea Houthi attacks, Hormuz tensions, Suez incidents) reduce effective global fleet capacity as vessels reroute around danger zones, extending voyage times 10-20 days and lifting spot rates 3-4×. Tanker operators (FRO, STNG, NAT, HAFNI) benefit from higher crude and product freight rates; ZIM benefits when container capacity tightens.
market/shipping_buy_v1
Economic threat score above 60 (Elevated) — sanctions, shipping disruption, or energy infrastructure attacks signal supply-side oil price pressure. Integrated majors (XOM, CVX, SHEL, BP, TTE) benefit from higher realised prices; oilfield services (SLB, HAL) benefit from upstream capex surges as producers rush to lock in volumes.
market/energy_stocks_buy_v1
Economic threat score above 60 (Elevated range) — sanctions, trade disruption, or resource competition detected; commodity safe-haven demand likely.
market/commodity_buy_v1
Economic threat score above 60 (Elevated) — sanctions, shipping disruption, or energy infrastructure attacks signal supply-side oil price pressure. Integrated majors (XOM, CVX, SHEL, BP, TTE) benefit from higher realised prices; oilfield services (SLB, HAL) benefit from upstream capex surges as producers rush to lock in volumes.
market/energy_stocks_buy_v1
Economic threat score above 60 (Elevated) — sanctions, shipping disruption, or energy infrastructure attacks signal supply-side oil price pressure. Integrated majors (XOM, CVX, SHEL, BP, TTE) benefit from higher realised prices; oilfield services (SLB, HAL) benefit from upstream capex surges as producers rush to lock in volumes.
market/energy_stocks_buy_v1
Economic threat score above 60 (Elevated) — sanctions, shipping disruption, or energy infrastructure attacks signal supply-side oil price pressure. Integrated majors (XOM, CVX, SHEL, BP, TTE) benefit from higher realised prices; oilfield services (SLB, HAL) benefit from upstream capex surges as producers rush to lock in volumes.
market/energy_stocks_buy_v1
Economic threat score above 60 (Elevated) — shipping lane disruptions (Red Sea Houthi attacks, Hormuz tensions, Suez incidents) reduce effective global fleet capacity as vessels reroute around danger zones, extending voyage times 10-20 days and lifting spot rates 3-4×. Tanker operators (FRO, STNG, NAT, HAFNI) benefit from higher crude and product freight rates; ZIM benefits when container capacity tightens.
market/shipping_buy_v1
Composite threat score below 25 (Low range) — geopolitical calm; safe-haven premium may compress as risk-on appetite returns.
market/safe_haven_sell_v1
Composite threat score below 25 (Low range) — geopolitical calm; safe-haven premium may compress as risk-on appetite returns.
market/safe_haven_sell_v1
Military threat score below 25 (Low) — cross-strait and peninsula calm reduces geopolitical risk premium in semiconductor valuations; supply-chain disruption fears recede.
market/semiconductor_sell_v1
Military threat score below 25 (Low range) — de-escalation signals; defense sector premium may compress as conflict-related demand subsides.
market/defense_sell_v1
Military threat score below 25 (Low range) — de-escalation signals; defense sector premium may compress as conflict-related demand subsides.
market/defense_sell_v1
Military threat score below 25 (Low range) — de-escalation signals; defense sector premium may compress as conflict-related demand subsides.
market/defense_sell_v1
Military threat score below 25 (Low range) — de-escalation signals; defense sector premium may compress as conflict-related demand subsides.
market/defense_sell_v1
Military threat score below 25 (Low range) — de-escalation signals; defense sector premium may compress as conflict-related demand subsides.
market/defense_sell_v1
Military threat score below 25 (Low range) — de-escalation signals; defense sector premium may compress as conflict-related demand subsides.
market/defense_sell_v1
Military threat score below 25 (Low range) — de-escalation signals; defense sector premium may compress as conflict-related demand subsides.
market/defense_sell_v1
Military threat score below 25 (Low) — cross-strait and peninsula calm reduces geopolitical risk premium in semiconductor valuations; supply-chain disruption fears recede.
market/semiconductor_sell_v1
Military threat score below 25 (Low) — cross-strait and peninsula calm reduces geopolitical risk premium in semiconductor valuations; supply-chain disruption fears recede.
market/semiconductor_sell_v1
Military threat score below 25 (Low) — cross-strait and peninsula calm reduces geopolitical risk premium in semiconductor valuations; supply-chain disruption fears recede.
market/semiconductor_sell_v1
Military threat score below 25 (Low range) — de-escalation signals; defense sector premium may compress as conflict-related demand subsides.
market/defense_sell_v1
Score Explanation
Engine 1.0.0 · Rule hash a3f8c2d1 · Sun, 22 Mar 2026 06:00:00 GMT
Reconstruction Check
Σ contributions = 70.975(reported composite: 72.5)