Pakistan

Guarded
country·PAK·Score 35.3 0.1
Analyst Review
7-day trend:→ 0.0·Engine 1.0.0·Rule hash d1e53fb0

Dimension Scores

Rule-based per-dimension breakdown

MILMilitary
45
DIPDiplomatic
0
ECOEconomic
39
INFInformation
34
HUMHumanitarian
17

Dimension Radar

Relative weight of each analytical dimension

255075Military44.84Diplomatic0Economic38.66Information33.85Humanitarian16.61

Score Trend

30-day composite score history — hover for details

025507510019 Apr22 Apr23 Apr

Top Indicators

Highest-contributing signals by weight × decay

humanitarian displacement
41.2
diplomatic withdrawal
38.4
information operations
37.7
cyber intrusion
33.1
troop mobilisation
30.2
diplomatic rhetoric
28.8
sanctions pressure
28.5
trade disruption
26.1

Contribution = signal weight × decayed value. Source: rule engine trace.

Evidence Timeline

Source events that contributed to this score

  1. Truce holds a year after brief Indo-Pak war, conflict continues

    20 May 2026·military·Asia Times
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  2. UNHCR-IOM Joint Border Monitoring Report # 5 on Inflows From The Islamic Republic of Iran 1 Mar - 7 May 2026

    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  3. EUAA country of origin information report: Pakistan - Country Focus (May 2026)

    Moderate
    cyber/incident
  4. Pakistan | Joint IOM and UNHCR Border Monitoring Report on Inflows From the Islamic Republic of Iran (1 Mar - 14 May 2026)

    Moderate
    cyber/incident
  5. WFP Pakistan Country Brief, May 2026

    Moderate
    cyber/incident
  6. Pakistan — Flow Monitoring of Afghan Nationals — Quarterly Report (January–March 2026)

    Moderate
    cyber/incident
  7. UNHCR-IOM Pakistan Flash update # 94 on Arrest and Detention/Flow Monitoring, 15 Sep 2023 to 9 May 2026

    20 May 2026·humanitarian·ReliefWeb Humanitarian Reports (UN OCHA)
    Moderate
    humanitarian/refugee_movement
  8. UNHCR - Pakistan Overview of Refugee and Afghans of other status in Pakistan (as of April 30, 2026)

    20 May 2026·humanitarian·ReliefWeb Humanitarian Reports (UN OCHA)
    Moderate
    humanitarian/refugee_movement
  9. WFP Pakistan Weekly Market Report - 7 May 2026

    Low
    economic/energy_disruption
  10. تودې خبرې - خواجه اصف: پښېمانه یوو چې د افغانستان چارو کې مو لاسوهنه کوله

    20 May 2026·military·Tolo News — Afghanistan
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  11. By-elections in Khuzdar not possible due to law and order situation, Balochistan govt tells ECP

    20 May 2026·information·Dawn — Pakistan
    Moderate
    cyber/incident
  12. In detailed order, court rules 'no leniency' for murderer of Sana Yousaf

    20 May 2026·information·Dawn — Pakistan
    Moderate
    cyber/incident
  13. Bangladesh beat Pakistan by 78 runs to clinch Test series 2-0

    20 May 2026·information·Dawn — Pakistan
    Moderate
    cyber/incident
  14. Aga Khan affirms commitment to supporting development during meeting with President Zardari

    20 May 2026·information·Dawn — Pakistan
    Moderate
    cyber/incident
  15. SC issues notices to accused in Rawalpindi honour killing case after jirga rejects woman’s marriage choice

    20 May 2026·information·Dawn — Pakistan
    Moderate
    cyber/incident
  16. 'I have led a spotless life': PPP's Raja Pervez reacts after purportedly being named by 'drug baroness' Pinky

    20 May 2026·military·Dawn — Pakistan
    Moderate
    military/armed_clash
  17. I tried to buy a Cambridge paper online, this is what happened

    20 May 2026·humanitarian·Dawn — Pakistan
    Moderate
    humanitarian/refugee_movement
  18. Punjab govt bans activities 'injurious to public health, peace' ahead of Eidul Azha

    20 May 2026·information·Dawn — Pakistan
    Moderate
    cyber/incident
  19. Man who murdered teen TikTok star in Pakistan gets death sentence

    20 May 2026·military·BBC World News
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  20. Major among five soldiers martyred during operation in Balochistan’s Barkhan: ISPR

    13 May 2026·military·Dawn — Pakistan
    Moderate
    military/troop_movement
  21. Major among five soldiers martyred during operation in Balochistan’s Barkhan: ISPR

    13 May 2026·military·Dawn — Pakistan
    Moderate
    military/troop_movement
  22. IHC rules high courts can assume jurisdiction in cases of promotion assessments

    13 May 2026·information·Dawn — Pakistan
    Moderate
    cyber/incident
  23. Pakistan, WHO launch Prime Minister's Hepatitis C Elimination Programme

    13 May 2026·military·Dawn — Pakistan
    Moderate
    military/armed_clash
  24. Punjab CM Office denies RTI requests seeking details of Maryam's tours and vehicles, luxury jet acquired by govt

    13 May 2026·information·Dawn — Pakistan
    Moderate
    cyber/incident
  25. Army eliminates 23 Indian-backed terrorists in KP IBOs

    Moderate
    military/troop_movement
  26. Security forces neutralise four terrorists in KP IBOs

    Moderate
    military/troop_movement
  27. Pakistan Navy confiscates drugs worth $130m in Arabian Sea

    Moderate
    cyber/incident
  28. US lawmakers laud Punjab govt's initiative to modernise brick-kiln

    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  29. MQM-P calls for new province in Sindh

    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  30. US report validates Pakistan military edge over India: PM

    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  31. Banned TTP poses serious threat to Pakistan security: UNSC panel

    Moderate
    economic/sanction
  32. Dubai sees 3.2m Pakistani passengers in 2025 as airport sets new milestone

    Moderate
    cyber/incident
  33. In meeting with EU Council president, Dar discuss economic ties, GSP+

    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  34. JITs to probe cases against TLP in Punjab

    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  35. CTD, police kill two suspected militants in Sarai Naurang operation

    Moderate
    cyber/incident
  36. Trump claims credit for averting Pak-India 'war that was almost ready to start again'

    Moderate
    military/armed_clash
  37. Imran Khan's sisters released after brief detention in Rawalpindi

    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  38. Opposition alliance holds protest rally against 27th Constitutional Amendment

    Low
    diplomatic/protest
  39. Raja Faisal Rathore sworn in as new AJK prime minister

    Moderate
    cyber/incident
  40. Security forces neutralise 15 Indian proxy terrorists in KP: ISPR

    Moderate
    military/troop_movement
  41. ECP moves to prepare schedule for Islamabad local polls

    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  42. Railways' modernisation to play key role in boosting economy: PM

    Moderate
    cyber/incident
  43. PPP's Palwasha Khan declares FIA, NCCIA 'corrupt'

    Moderate
    cyber/incident
  44. By-polls announced for Senate seat left vacant after Irfan Siddiqui's death

    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  45. PTI's Gohar joins others in condemning harassment of journalist Shahzeb Khanzada

    Low
    diplomatic/threat
  46. Pakistan seeks to boost military collaboration with Jordan, says COAS Munir

    Moderate
    cyber/incident
  47. President honours Jordan's king with Nishan-e-Pakistan for global peace efforts

    Moderate
    humanitarian/refugee_movement
  48. Field Marshal Munir warns of Pakistan's 'firm response' to any aggression

    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  49. Cambridge confirms leak of AS-level Mathematics paper, postpones upcoming exam as 'precautionary step'

    13 May 2026·information·Dawn — Pakistan
    Moderate
    cyber/incident
  50. Cambridge confirms leak of AS-level Mathematics paper, postpones upcoming exam as 'precautionary step'

    13 May 2026·information·Dawn — Pakistan
    Moderate
    cyber/incident

Market Signal Indicators

0 analytical signals · derived from current threat score

⚠ Analytical purposes only — not investment advice. Consult a qualified financial adviser before trading.

No market signal thresholds triggered for the current threat scores.

Score Explanation

Engine 1.0.0 · Rule hash a3f8c2d1 · Sun, 22 Mar 2026 06:00:00 GMT

Reconstruction Check

military: 29.470diplomatic: 17.025economic: 11.060information: 7.180humanitarian: 6.240

Σ contributions = 70.975(reported composite: 72.5)