Israel

Guarded
country·ISR·Score 37.7 0.6
Analyst Review
7-day trend:→ 0.0·Engine 1.0.0·Rule hash d1e53fb0

Dimension Scores

Rule-based per-dimension breakdown

MILMilitary
45
DIPDiplomatic
36
ECOEconomic
55
INFInformation
34
HUMHumanitarian
17

Dimension Radar

Relative weight of each analytical dimension

255075Military45.07Diplomatic36.04Economic55.01Information33.73Humanitarian16.83

Score Trend

30-day composite score history — hover for details

025507510019 Apr21 Apr21 Apr

Top Indicators

Highest-contributing signals by weight × decay

humanitarian displacement
41.2
diplomatic withdrawal
38.4
information operations
37.7
cyber intrusion
33.1
troop mobilisation
30.2
diplomatic rhetoric
28.8
sanctions pressure
28.5
trade disruption
26.1

Contribution = signal weight × decayed value. Source: rule engine trace.

Evidence Timeline

Source events that contributed to this score

  1. Far-right Israeli minister condemned for taunting handcuffed Gaza flotilla activists

    20 May 2026·diplomatic·BBC World News
    Low
    diplomatic/threat
  2. Trump says ‘there won’t be escalation’ with Cuba after US indictment of former president Raúl Castro – US politics live

    20 May 2026·military·The Guardian World News
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  3. Australia news live: Penny Wong rebukes Israel over ‘shocking and unacceptable’ treatment of flotilla activists

    20 May 2026·information·The Guardian World News
    Moderate
    cyber/incident
  4. Trump says ‘there won’t be escalation’ with Cuba after US indictment of former president Raúl Castro – US politics live

    20 May 2026·military·The Guardian World News
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  5. Israeli security minister stirs diplomatic outrage with flotilla activist abuse video

    20 May 2026·military·The Guardian World News
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  6. Australia news live: Penny Wong rebukes Israel over ‘shocking and unacceptable’ treatment of flotilla activists

    20 May 2026·information·The Guardian World News
    Moderate
    cyber/incident
  7. Trump says ‘there won’t be escalation’ with Cuba after US indictment of former president Raúl Castro – US politics live

    20 May 2026·military·The Guardian World News
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  8. Australia news live: Penny Wong rebukes Israel over ‘shocking and unacceptable’ treatment of flotilla activists

    20 May 2026·information·The Guardian World News
    Moderate
    cyber/incident
  9. New violation to Syrian authority | Israeli artillery shelling targets southern Al-Quneitra countryside

    Moderate
    military/armed_clash
  10. Israeli security minister stirs diplomatic outrage with flotilla activist abuse video

    20 May 2026·military·The Guardian World News
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  11. Secretary-General Condemns in Strongest Terms Israel’s Decision to Set Up Military Facilities at UN Relief and Works Agency for Palestine Refugees Compound

    20 May 2026·humanitarian·UN Security Council Press Releases
    Moderate
    humanitarian/refugee_movement
  12. US condemns Israel’s Ben-Gvir while sanctioning Gaza flotilla organisers

    20 May 2026·diplomatic·Al Jazeera English — World News
    Moderate
    economic/sanction
  13. Australia news live: Penny Wong rebukes Israel over ‘shocking and unacceptable’ treatment of flotilla activists

    20 May 2026·information·The Guardian World News
    Moderate
    cyber/incident
  14. Australia news live: Penny Wong rebukes Israel over ‘shocking and unacceptable’ treatment of flotilla activists

    20 May 2026·military·The Guardian World News
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  15. Trump says ‘there won’t be escalation’ with Cuba after US indictment of former president Raúl Castro – US politics live

    20 May 2026·military·The Guardian World News
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  16. How AIPAC channels millions through shell PACs ahead of US midterms

    20 May 2026·military·Al Jazeera English — World News
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  17. Australia news live: Penny Wong rebukes Israel over ‘shocking and unacceptable’ treatment of flotilla activists

    20 May 2026·information·The Guardian World News
    Moderate
    cyber/incident
  18. Trump says ‘there won’t be escalation’ with Cuba after US indictment of former president Raúl Castro – US politics live

    20 May 2026·military·The Guardian World News
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  19. Australia news live: Penny Wong rebukes Israel over ‘shocking and unacceptable’ treatment of flotilla activists

    20 May 2026·diplomatic·The Guardian World News
    Low
    diplomatic/threat
  20. Trump says ‘there won’t be escalation’ with Cuba after US indictment of former president Raúl Castro – US politics live

    20 May 2026·military·The Guardian World News
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  21. Trump says ‘there won’t be escalation’ with Cuba after US indictment of former president Raúl Castro – US politics live

    20 May 2026·military·The Guardian World News
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  22. As AIPAC becomes ‘toxic’, it is trying to conceal spending in US elections

    20 May 2026·military·Al Jazeera English — World News
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  23. Israeli settlers burn vehicles, install caravans in occupied West Bank

    20 May 2026·military·Al Jazeera English — World News
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  24. Todd Blanche announces indictment of former Cuban president Raúl Castro over downing of two planes in 1996 – US politics live

    20 May 2026·military·The Guardian World News
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  25. Todd Blanche announces indictment of former Cuban president Raúl Castro over downing of two planes in 1996 – US politics live

    20 May 2026·military·The Guardian World News
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  26. ‘The aim is to erase our identity’: How south Lebanon’s cultural heritage is going up in smoke

    20 May 2026·military·France 24 English
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  27. Far-right Israeli minister condemned for taunting handcuffed Gaza flotilla activists

    20 May 2026·diplomatic·BBC World News
    Low
    diplomatic/threat
  28. Todd Blanche announces indictment of former Cuban president Raúl Castro over downing of two planes in 1996 – US politics live

    20 May 2026·military·The Guardian World News
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  29. Todd Blanche announces indictment of former Cuban president Raúl Castro over downing of two planes in 1996 – US politics live

    20 May 2026·military·The Guardian World News
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  30. Secretary-General Condemns in Strongest Terms Israel’s Decision to Set up Military Facilities at UN Relief and Works Agency for Palestine Refugees Compound

    20 May 2026·humanitarian·UN Security Council Press Releases
    Moderate
    humanitarian/refugee_movement
  31. Todd Blanche announces indictment of former Cuban president Raúl Castro over downing of two planes in 1996 – US politics live

    20 May 2026·military·The Guardian World News
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  32. Outrage grows over treatment of Gaza flotilla activists; US boards Iranian oil tanker – Middle East crisis as it happened

    20 May 2026·military·The Guardian World News
    Moderate
    military/armed_clash
  33. Todd Blanche announces indictment of former Cuban president Raúl Castro over downing of two planes in 1996 – US politics live

    20 May 2026·military·The Guardian World News
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  34. Trump may see himself in Ahmadinejad but having him lead Iran was a perplexing idea

    20 May 2026·information·The Guardian World News
    Moderate
    cyber/incident
  35. Todd Blanche announces indictment of former Cuban president Raúl Castro over downing of two planes in 1996 – US politics live

    20 May 2026·military·The Guardian World News
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  36. Officials to meet Australians detained by Israel – as it happened

    20 May 2026·information·The Guardian World News
    Moderate
    cyber/incident
  37. Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, the US and Israel’s unlikely choice to lead Iran

    20 May 2026·information·The Guardian World News
    Moderate
    cyber/incident
  38. US and Israel ‘hoped to install Ahmadinejad as Iran’s leader’

    20 May 2026·military·The Guardian World News
    Moderate
    military/armed_clash
  39. Todd Blanche announces indictment of former Cuban president Raúl Castro over downing of two planes in 1996 – US politics live

    20 May 2026·military·The Guardian World News
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  40. Outrage grows over treatment of Gaza flotilla activists; US boards Iranian oil tanker – Middle East crisis live

    20 May 2026·military·The Guardian World News
    Moderate
    military/armed_clash
  41. Israel's treatment of aid flotilla activists sparks global outrage

    20 May 2026·military·Deutsche Welle English
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  42. Middle East: Iran says any new attack will widen war

    20 May 2026·diplomatic·Deutsche Welle English
    Low
    diplomatic/threat
  43. Eurovision 2026: Politics collide with a blockbuster show

    20 May 2026·military·Deutsche Welle English
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  44. Far-right Israeli minister sparks outcry with video of bound and kneeling Gaza flotilla activists

    20 May 2026·military·France 24 English
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  45. Gaza residents barred from Haj, animal sacrifice as Eidul Azha nears

    20 May 2026·humanitarian·Dawn — Pakistan
    Moderate
    humanitarian/refugee_movement
  46. 'Monstrous, disgraceful and inhumane': Israeli minister sparks outcry over video of bound flotilla activists

    20 May 2026·diplomatic·Dawn — Pakistan
    Low
    diplomatic/protest
  47. Israeli minister taunts detained activists from Global Sumud Flotilla in video

    20 May 2026·military·ABC Australia — World News
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  48. Expanding evacuation zone, Israeli-backed militia forcibly displaces hundreds of families from Deir al-Balah

    20 May 2026·humanitarian·Mada Masr — Egypt
    Moderate
    humanitarian/refugee_movement
  49. Netanyahu Secretly Visited UAE During Iran War, Israel Confirms

    20 May 2026·information·IranWire — Iran
    Moderate
    cyber/incident
  50. UAE Rejects Israeli Claims of Secret Netanyahu Visit During Iran War

    20 May 2026·information·IranWire — Iran
    Moderate
    cyber/incident

Market Signal Indicators

5 analytical signals · derived from current threat score

⚠ Analytical purposes only — not investment advice. Consult a qualified financial adviser before trading.

BUY5 instruments
ALBAlbemarle Corp — Lithium producer (NYSE)
economic 55.0

Economic threat score above 55 (Elevated) — sanctions, supply chain weaponisation, or China critical mineral export restrictions signal acute scarcity for defense electronics and EV battery supply chains. REMX provides broad exposure; MP Materials benefits as the only active US rare earth producer; ALB/SQM/LTHM benefit from lithium scarcity driven by conflict-zone supply disruption and EV demand surge.

market/critical_minerals_buy_v1

LTHMArcadium Lithium plc — Lithium (NYSE)
economic 55.0

Economic threat score above 55 (Elevated) — sanctions, supply chain weaponisation, or China critical mineral export restrictions signal acute scarcity for defense electronics and EV battery supply chains. REMX provides broad exposure; MP Materials benefits as the only active US rare earth producer; ALB/SQM/LTHM benefit from lithium scarcity driven by conflict-zone supply disruption and EV demand surge.

market/critical_minerals_buy_v1

MPMP Materials Corp — US rare earth mining (NYSE)
economic 55.0

Economic threat score above 55 (Elevated) — sanctions, supply chain weaponisation, or China critical mineral export restrictions signal acute scarcity for defense electronics and EV battery supply chains. REMX provides broad exposure; MP Materials benefits as the only active US rare earth producer; ALB/SQM/LTHM benefit from lithium scarcity driven by conflict-zone supply disruption and EV demand surge.

market/critical_minerals_buy_v1

REMXVanEck Rare Earth & Strategic Metals ETF
economic 55.0

Economic threat score above 55 (Elevated) — sanctions, supply chain weaponisation, or China critical mineral export restrictions signal acute scarcity for defense electronics and EV battery supply chains. REMX provides broad exposure; MP Materials benefits as the only active US rare earth producer; ALB/SQM/LTHM benefit from lithium scarcity driven by conflict-zone supply disruption and EV demand surge.

market/critical_minerals_buy_v1

SQMSociedad Química y Minera de Chile — Lithium (NYSE)
economic 55.0

Economic threat score above 55 (Elevated) — sanctions, supply chain weaponisation, or China critical mineral export restrictions signal acute scarcity for defense electronics and EV battery supply chains. REMX provides broad exposure; MP Materials benefits as the only active US rare earth producer; ALB/SQM/LTHM benefit from lithium scarcity driven by conflict-zone supply disruption and EV demand surge.

market/critical_minerals_buy_v1

Score Explanation

Engine 1.0.0 · Rule hash a3f8c2d1 · Sun, 22 Mar 2026 06:00:00 GMT

Reconstruction Check

military: 29.470diplomatic: 17.025economic: 11.060information: 7.180humanitarian: 6.240

Σ contributions = 70.975(reported composite: 72.5)