Venezuela

Low
country·VEN·Score 10.7→ 0.0
Analyst Review
7-day trend:→ 0.0·Engine 1.0.0·Rule hash d1e53fb0

Dimension Scores

Rule-based per-dimension breakdown

MILMilitary
0
DIPDiplomatic
0
ECOEconomic
7
INFInformation
32
HUMHumanitarian
22

Dimension Radar

Relative weight of each analytical dimension

255075Military0.25Diplomatic0Economic7.36Information32.37Humanitarian21.89

Score Trend

30-day composite score history — hover for details

025507510019 Apr25 Apr1 May

Top Indicators

Highest-contributing signals by weight × decay

humanitarian displacement
41.2
diplomatic withdrawal
38.4
information operations
37.7
cyber intrusion
33.1
troop mobilisation
30.2
diplomatic rhetoric
28.8
sanctions pressure
28.5
trade disruption
26.1

Contribution = signal weight × decayed value. Source: rule engine trace.

Evidence Timeline

Source events that contributed to this score

  1. Desorientados pero libres: los tres expolicías metropolitanos abrazan la vida nuevamente tras 23 años en prisión

    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  2. ¿Sabes qué producciones lideran el ranking en Netflix Venezuela?

    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  3. World Bank Group Visit to Venezuela

    Moderate
    cyber/incident
  4. Venezuela 5W - Humanitarian Operational Presence 2026 - Who does What Where When & for Whom? as of 30 April 2026

    Moderate
    cyber/incident
  5. The ICRC's response to affected populations and infrastructure following the events of January 2026 in Venezuela

    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  6. Visita del Grupo del Banco Mundial a Venezuela

    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  7. Venezuela: Population Movement - DREF Final Report (MDRVE011)

    20 May 2026·humanitarian·ReliefWeb Humanitarian Reports (UN OCHA)
    Moderate
    humanitarian/civilian_violence
  8. Venezuela 5W - Presencia Operativa Humanitaria 2026 - ¿Quién hace qué, dónde, cuándo y para quién? hasta el 30 de abril de 2026

    Moderate
    cyber/incident
  9. Did Trump really rescue Venezuela? – podcast

    20 May 2026·military·The Guardian World News
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  10. Venezuela releases 300 prisoners under amnesty law

    20 May 2026·military·France 24 English
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  11. The ICRC's response to affected populations and infrastructure following the events of January 2026 in Venezuela

    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  12. Spain widens Zapatero graft probe to implicate Venezuela's acting president in oil scheme

    20 May 2026·military·Intellinews
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  13. Amnistía Internacional exige al fiscal Devoe libertad para todos los presos políticos en Venezuela

    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  14. DeSantis firma la FIRE Act: nueva ley en Florida restringirá contratos y negocios de venezolanos vinculados al régimen chavista

    Moderate
    cyber/incident
  15. Qué es el “caso Plus Ultra” por el que se imputó por blanqueo de capitales al expresidente español Zapatero (y qué vínculo tiene con Venezuela)

    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  16. La cinta animada Intercambiados y Hombre en llamas dominan los rankings de Netflix Venezuela

    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  17. Estudiantes de la UCV trancan autopista de Caracas en protesta por la liberación de presos políticos

    Low
    diplomatic/protest
  18. Estudiantes de la UCV protestan en Caracas por la liberación de presos políticos

    Low
    diplomatic/protest
  19. Parlamento sanciona por unanimidad reforma de la Ley del TSJ que aumenta magistrados a 32

    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  20. Venezuela mantiene crecimiento de la producción de crudo en medio de su apertura petrolera

    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  21. Gremio universitario convoca a nuevo paro nacional el próximo 19 de mayo

    Low
    diplomatic/protest
  22. Human Rights Watch cree que Ley de Amnistía en Venezuela tiene “graves deficiencias”

    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  23. Venezuela y EEUU buscan ampliar la conectividad aérea y las exportaciones de energía

    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  24. United Airlines anuncia el retorno de sus vuelos directos con Venezuela

    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  25. María Corina Machado revela que discute con Marco Rubio su regreso a Venezuela

    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  26. How Venezuela has – and hasn’t – changed since Maduro’s capture

    12 May 2026·military·Asia Times
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  27. How Venezuela has – and hasn’t – changed since Maduro’s capture

    11 May 2026·military·Asia Times
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  28. Venezuela’s Delcy Rodriguez heads to The Hague for land dispute case

    09 May 2026·military·Al Jazeera English — World News
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  29. Venezuela: Extensión del Plan de Respuesta Humanitaria 2026 [EN/ES]

    Moderate
    cyber/incident
  30. Venezuela: Extensión del Plan de Respuesta Humanitaria 2026

    Moderate
    cyber/incident
  31. Venezuela: Extensión del Plan de Respuesta Humanitaria 2026 Extension of the Humanitarian Response Plan 2026

    Moderate
    cyber/incident
  32. Venezuela, Caracas: Minutas, Reunión de Coordinación [23 04 2026]

    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  33. Venezuela, Caracas: Minutas, Reunión de Coordinación [27 03 2026]

    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  34. Venezuela - Food Security Outlook (April - September 2026): High inflation continues to drive Stressed (IPC Phase 2) outcomes countrywide

    Low
    economic/energy_disruption
  35. Meet the artist turning Venezuelan protest music into art

    06 May 2026·diplomatic·ABC Australia — World News
    Low
    diplomatic/protest
  36. WFP Venezuela: Country Brief - March 2026

    Moderate
    cyber/incident
  37. WFP Venezuela March 2026 Country Brief

    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  38. First direct US-Venezuela flight in 7 years lands in Caracas

    01 May 2026·military·Deutsche Welle English
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  39. Acciones del CICR para a atender las poblaciones y estructuras afectadas tras los eventos de enero de 2026 en Venezuela

    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  40. ‘A new chapter’: first commercial flight from US since 2019 lands in Venezuela

    30 Apr 2026·military·The Guardian World News
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  41. First US-Venezuela flight lands in Caracas after seven-year suspension

    30 Apr 2026·military·Al Jazeera English — World News
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  42. US-Venezuela direct flights resume after seven-year suspension

    30 Apr 2026·military·Al Jazeera English — World News
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  43. ‘A new chapter’: first commercial fight from US since 2019 lands in Venezuela

    30 Apr 2026·military·The Guardian World News
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  44. ‘A new chapter’: first commercial fight from US since 2019 lands in Venezuela

    30 Apr 2026·military·The Guardian World News
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  45. Marco Lógico 2026: Venezuela Clúster Educación (29 abril 2026)

    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  46. Venezuela Humanitarian Fund (VHF) Annual Report 2025

    Low
    diplomatic/threat
  47. Marco Lógico del Clúster de Educación 2026

    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  48. Venezuela Humanitarian Fund (VHF) - 2025 Annual Report

    Low
    diplomatic/threat
  49. Venezuela: Cobertura de implementación. Clúster de Protección y Áreas de Responsabilidad (Enero - Marzo 2026)

    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  50. Clúster de Protección Venezuela: Respuesta (Enero - Marzo 2026)

    Low
    unknown/unmapped

Market Signal Indicators

25 analytical signals · derived from current threat score

⚠ Analytical purposes only — not investment advice. Consult a qualified financial adviser before trading.

SELL25 instruments
GLDSPDR Gold Shares ETF
composite 10.7

Composite threat score below 25 (Low range) — geopolitical calm; safe-haven premium may compress as risk-on appetite returns.

market/safe_haven_sell_v1

TLTiShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
composite 10.7

Composite threat score below 25 (Low range) — geopolitical calm; safe-haven premium may compress as risk-on appetite returns.

market/safe_haven_sell_v1

BPBP plc
economic 7.4

Economic threat score below 25 (Low) — geopolitical supply-side risk premium unwinding; energy stocks that outperformed during elevated tension periods may face de-rating as conflict-driven price support recedes.

market/energy_stocks_sell_v1

CVXChevron Corp
economic 7.4

Economic threat score below 25 (Low) — geopolitical supply-side risk premium unwinding; energy stocks that outperformed during elevated tension periods may face de-rating as conflict-driven price support recedes.

market/energy_stocks_sell_v1

FROFrontline plc
economic 7.4

Economic threat score below 25 (Low) — shipping lane normalisation compresses freight rate premium; tanker operators that re-rated on disruption may mean-revert.

market/shipping_sell_v1

MPMP Materials Corp
economic 7.4

Economic threat score below 25 (Low) — supply-chain normalisation reduces critical mineral scarcity premium; REMX and MP may de-rate.

market/critical_minerals_sell_v1

REMXVanEck Rare Earth & Strategic Metals ETF
economic 7.4

Economic threat score below 25 (Low) — supply-chain normalisation reduces critical mineral scarcity premium; REMX and MP may de-rate.

market/critical_minerals_sell_v1

SHELShell plc
economic 7.4

Economic threat score below 25 (Low) — geopolitical supply-side risk premium unwinding; energy stocks that outperformed during elevated tension periods may face de-rating as conflict-driven price support recedes.

market/energy_stocks_sell_v1

STNGScorpio Tankers Inc
economic 7.4

Economic threat score below 25 (Low) — shipping lane normalisation compresses freight rate premium; tanker operators that re-rated on disruption may mean-revert.

market/shipping_sell_v1

TTETotalEnergies SE
economic 7.4

Economic threat score below 25 (Low) — geopolitical supply-side risk premium unwinding; energy stocks that outperformed during elevated tension periods may face de-rating as conflict-driven price support recedes.

market/energy_stocks_sell_v1

XLEEnergy Select Sector SPDR Fund
economic 7.4

Economic threat score below 25 (Low) — geopolitical supply-side risk premium unwinding; energy stocks that outperformed during elevated tension periods may face de-rating as conflict-driven price support recedes.

market/energy_stocks_sell_v1

XOMExxonMobil Corp
economic 7.4

Economic threat score below 25 (Low) — geopolitical supply-side risk premium unwinding; energy stocks that outperformed during elevated tension periods may face de-rating as conflict-driven price support recedes.

market/energy_stocks_sell_v1

ZIMZIM Integrated Shipping Services
economic 7.4

Economic threat score below 25 (Low) — shipping lane normalisation compresses freight rate premium; tanker operators that re-rated on disruption may mean-revert.

market/shipping_sell_v1

ASMLASML Holding NV (NASDAQ-listed)
military 0.3

Military threat score below 25 (Low) — cross-strait and peninsula calm reduces geopolitical risk premium in semiconductor valuations; supply-chain disruption fears recede.

market/semiconductor_sell_v1

GDGeneral Dynamics Corp
military 0.3

Military threat score below 25 (Low range) — de-escalation signals; defense sector premium may compress as conflict-related demand subsides.

market/defense_sell_v1

ITAiShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF
military 0.3

Military threat score below 25 (Low range) — de-escalation signals; defense sector premium may compress as conflict-related demand subsides.

market/defense_sell_v1

LHXL3Harris Technologies Inc
military 0.3

Military threat score below 25 (Low range) — de-escalation signals; defense sector premium may compress as conflict-related demand subsides.

market/defense_sell_v1

LMTLockheed Martin Corp
military 0.3

Military threat score below 25 (Low range) — de-escalation signals; defense sector premium may compress as conflict-related demand subsides.

market/defense_sell_v1

NOCNorthrop Grumman Corp
military 0.3

Military threat score below 25 (Low range) — de-escalation signals; defense sector premium may compress as conflict-related demand subsides.

market/defense_sell_v1

PPAInvesco Aerospace & Defense ETF
military 0.3

Military threat score below 25 (Low range) — de-escalation signals; defense sector premium may compress as conflict-related demand subsides.

market/defense_sell_v1

RTXRTX Corporation
military 0.3

Military threat score below 25 (Low range) — de-escalation signals; defense sector premium may compress as conflict-related demand subsides.

market/defense_sell_v1

SMHVanEck Semiconductor ETF
military 0.3

Military threat score below 25 (Low) — cross-strait and peninsula calm reduces geopolitical risk premium in semiconductor valuations; supply-chain disruption fears recede.

market/semiconductor_sell_v1

SOXXiShares Semiconductor ETF
military 0.3

Military threat score below 25 (Low) — cross-strait and peninsula calm reduces geopolitical risk premium in semiconductor valuations; supply-chain disruption fears recede.

market/semiconductor_sell_v1

TSMTaiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSMC ADR)
military 0.3

Military threat score below 25 (Low) — cross-strait and peninsula calm reduces geopolitical risk premium in semiconductor valuations; supply-chain disruption fears recede.

market/semiconductor_sell_v1

XARSPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF
military 0.3

Military threat score below 25 (Low range) — de-escalation signals; defense sector premium may compress as conflict-related demand subsides.

market/defense_sell_v1

Score Explanation

Engine 1.0.0 · Rule hash a3f8c2d1 · Sun, 22 Mar 2026 06:00:00 GMT

Reconstruction Check

military: 29.470diplomatic: 17.025economic: 11.060information: 7.180humanitarian: 6.240

Σ contributions = 70.975(reported composite: 72.5)