France

Low
country·FRA·Score 16.8 0.1
Analyst Review
7-day trend:→ 0.0·Engine 1.0.0·Rule hash d1e53fb0

Dimension Scores

Rule-based per-dimension breakdown

MILMilitary
15
DIPDiplomatic
0
ECOEconomic
34
INFInformation
36
HUMHumanitarian
2

Dimension Radar

Relative weight of each analytical dimension

255075Military14.59Diplomatic0Economic34.03Information35.7Humanitarian1.9

Score Trend

30-day composite score history — hover for details

025507510019 Apr22 Apr24 Apr

Top Indicators

Highest-contributing signals by weight × decay

humanitarian displacement
41.2
diplomatic withdrawal
38.4
information operations
37.7
cyber intrusion
33.1
troop mobilisation
30.2
diplomatic rhetoric
28.8
sanctions pressure
28.5
trade disruption
26.1

Contribution = signal weight × decayed value. Source: rule engine trace.

Evidence Timeline

Source events that contributed to this score

  1. Stellantis - Dongfeng Joint Venture will see Chinese maker's EVs built in France

    20 May 2026·military·France 24 English
    Moderate
    military/armed_clash
  2. US announces charges against former Cuban leader Raúl Castro in 1996 downing of aircraft

    20 May 2026·information·France 24 English
    Moderate
    cyber/incident
  3. US announces charges against former Cuban leader Raúl Castro in 1996 aircraft shootdown

    20 May 2026·information·France 24 English
    Moderate
    cyber/incident
  4. Foreign student fee hikes in France trigger backlash

    20 May 2026·military·Deutsche Welle English
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  5. Rami Malek leads Cannes film on love and the AIDS crisis

    20 May 2026·military·France 24 English
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  6. « You have to suffer » : A conversation with Girl in Red and Anders Danielson Lie

    20 May 2026·military·France 24 English
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  7. French star Bruel urged to cancel concerts amid rape claims

    20 May 2026·military·France 24 English
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  8. Inside France's new voluntary military service scheme

    20 May 2026·military·France 24 English
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  9. Ten days without screens: French families urged to unplug and refocus

    20 May 2026·military·France 24 English
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  10. Xi and Putin call for 'multi-polar' world order

    20 May 2026·information·France 24 English
    Moderate
    cyber/incident
  11. Ebola in DR Congo: 'This could be a very bad outbreak,' MSF health worker says

    20 May 2026·military·France 24 English
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  12. Sweden picks France’s FDI frigates in potential $4.2 billion deal

    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  13. France: Cruise ship on lockdown over stomach bug outbreak

    13 May 2026·military·Deutsche Welle English
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  14. Can Macron’s Kenya visit revive French influence in Africa?

    13 May 2026·military·Al Jazeera English — World News
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  15. Secretary-General’s Remarks at Beginning of Meeting with President of France, Chairperson of African Union Commission

    13 May 2026·military·UN Security Council Press Releases
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  16. 'I'm confident that an African country will win the World Cup': CAF President Patrice Motsepe

    13 May 2026·information·France 24 English
    Moderate
    cyber/incident
  17. Africa Forward Summit: Africa must "build off the basis of what it already owns"

    13 May 2026·military·France 24 English
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  18. Africa Forward Summit: Navigating the nuances of data governance in Africa

    13 May 2026·military·France 24 English
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  19. Prosecutors demand 7-year sentence for Sarkozy in Libya financing case

    13 May 2026·military·France 24 English
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  20. France confines over 1,700 passengers on cruise ship over gastroenteritis

    13 May 2026·military·Al Jazeera English — World News
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  21. Gunshots fired in standoff at Philippine Senate over ICC suspect

    13 May 2026·military·France 24 English
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  22. France confines more than 1,700 on cruise ship after death linked to suspected gastroenteritis

    13 May 2026·military·France 24 English
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  23. France confines more than 1,700 on cruise ship after death linked to suspected gastroenteritis

    13 May 2026·military·France 24 English
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  24. France confines more than 1,700 people to cruise ship after suspected norovirus outbreak

    13 May 2026·military·The Guardian World News
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  25. France confines more than 1,700 on cruise ship after death linked to suspected gastroenteritis

    13 May 2026·military·France 24 English
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  26. France: Cruise ship locked down over likely stomach flu outbreak

    13 May 2026·military·France 24 English
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  27. In Sudan, both sides 'have taken the country to the dogs': Kenya's Ruto

    13 May 2026·military·France 24 English
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  28. Wait, Sophie the Giraffe isn't French?

    13 May 2026·military·France 24 English
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  29. France confines more than 1,700 people to cruise ship after suspected norovirus outbreak

    13 May 2026·military·The Guardian World News
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  30. France confines more than 1,700 people to cruise ship after suspected norovirus death

    13 May 2026·military·The Guardian World News
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  31. ‘The guards could not speak without yelling’: life as an 85-year-old ICE detainee

    13 May 2026·information·The Guardian World News
    Moderate
    cyber/incident
  32. French woman battling 'severe' hantavirus as outbreak grows to 11

    13 May 2026·military·France 24 English
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  33. Sarkozy appeal trial: Prosecution wrapping case ahead of sentencing request

    13 May 2026·military·France 24 English
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  34. France confines more than 1,700 people to cruise ship after suspected norovirus death

    13 May 2026·military·The Guardian World News
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  35. NGO sounds alarm as online child sexual abuse material surges in France

    13 May 2026·military·France 24 English
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  36. France confines more than 1,700 people to cruise ship after suspected norovirus death

    13 May 2026·military·The Guardian World News
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  37. Trump heads to China, says no need for Xi's help on Iran war

    13 May 2026·military·France 24 English
    Low
    economic/energy_disruption
  38. Africa Forward Summit concludes with key France-Kenya agreement

    13 May 2026·information·France 24 English
    Moderate
    cyber/incident
  39. More than 1,000 passengers held on cruise in France after gastroenteritis outbreak

    13 May 2026·military·BBC World News
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  40. Passengers held on cruise ship in France after gastroenteritis outbreak

    13 May 2026·military·BBC World News
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  41. Passengers held on cruise ship in France after gastroenteritis outbreak

    13 May 2026·military·BBC World News
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  42. Passengers held on cruise ship in France after gastroenteritis outbreak

    13 May 2026·military·BBC World News
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  43. More than 1,700 confined on cruise ship in Bordeaux after suspected norovirus death – Europe live

    13 May 2026·information·The Guardian World News
    Moderate
    cyber/incident
  44. France confines more than 1,700 people to cruise ship after suspected norovirus death

    13 May 2026·military·The Guardian World News
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  45. France confines more than 1,700 on cruise ship after suspected norovirus death

    13 May 2026·military·France 24 English
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  46. Live: King Charles lays out UK government agenda as Starmer battles to keep PM job

    13 May 2026·military·France 24 English
    Moderate
    military/armed_clash
  47. Trump heads to Beijing with delegation of US business leaders, hopes China will 'open up'

    13 May 2026·military·France 24 English
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  48. France intensifies hantavirus surveillance as 22 contact cases identified

    13 May 2026·military·France 24 English
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  49. Macron's interview with FRANCE 24: French president recaps his work in Africa over 2 terms

    13 May 2026·military·France 24 English
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  50. 79th Cannes Film Festival: Inside the making of the prestigious Palme d’Or

    13 May 2026·military·France 24 English
    Low
    unknown/unmapped

Market Signal Indicators

15 analytical signals · derived from current threat score

⚠ Analytical purposes only — not investment advice. Consult a qualified financial adviser before trading.

BUY1 instrument
EWQiShares MSCI France ETF (Euronext Paris / CAC 40)
composite 16.8

France composite threat score below 25 (Low) — geopolitical calm supports French equity risk compression; consider EWQ exposure.

market/national_equity_buy_fra_v1

SELL14 instruments
GLDSPDR Gold Shares ETF
composite 16.8

Composite threat score below 25 (Low range) — geopolitical calm; safe-haven premium may compress as risk-on appetite returns.

market/safe_haven_sell_v1

TLTiShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
composite 16.8

Composite threat score below 25 (Low range) — geopolitical calm; safe-haven premium may compress as risk-on appetite returns.

market/safe_haven_sell_v1

ASMLASML Holding NV (NASDAQ-listed)
military 14.6

Military threat score below 25 (Low) — cross-strait and peninsula calm reduces geopolitical risk premium in semiconductor valuations; supply-chain disruption fears recede.

market/semiconductor_sell_v1

GDGeneral Dynamics Corp
military 14.6

Military threat score below 25 (Low range) — de-escalation signals; defense sector premium may compress as conflict-related demand subsides.

market/defense_sell_v1

ITAiShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF
military 14.6

Military threat score below 25 (Low range) — de-escalation signals; defense sector premium may compress as conflict-related demand subsides.

market/defense_sell_v1

LHXL3Harris Technologies Inc
military 14.6

Military threat score below 25 (Low range) — de-escalation signals; defense sector premium may compress as conflict-related demand subsides.

market/defense_sell_v1

LMTLockheed Martin Corp
military 14.6

Military threat score below 25 (Low range) — de-escalation signals; defense sector premium may compress as conflict-related demand subsides.

market/defense_sell_v1

NOCNorthrop Grumman Corp
military 14.6

Military threat score below 25 (Low range) — de-escalation signals; defense sector premium may compress as conflict-related demand subsides.

market/defense_sell_v1

PPAInvesco Aerospace & Defense ETF
military 14.6

Military threat score below 25 (Low range) — de-escalation signals; defense sector premium may compress as conflict-related demand subsides.

market/defense_sell_v1

RTXRTX Corporation
military 14.6

Military threat score below 25 (Low range) — de-escalation signals; defense sector premium may compress as conflict-related demand subsides.

market/defense_sell_v1

SMHVanEck Semiconductor ETF
military 14.6

Military threat score below 25 (Low) — cross-strait and peninsula calm reduces geopolitical risk premium in semiconductor valuations; supply-chain disruption fears recede.

market/semiconductor_sell_v1

SOXXiShares Semiconductor ETF
military 14.6

Military threat score below 25 (Low) — cross-strait and peninsula calm reduces geopolitical risk premium in semiconductor valuations; supply-chain disruption fears recede.

market/semiconductor_sell_v1

TSMTaiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSMC ADR)
military 14.6

Military threat score below 25 (Low) — cross-strait and peninsula calm reduces geopolitical risk premium in semiconductor valuations; supply-chain disruption fears recede.

market/semiconductor_sell_v1

XARSPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF
military 14.6

Military threat score below 25 (Low range) — de-escalation signals; defense sector premium may compress as conflict-related demand subsides.

market/defense_sell_v1

Score Explanation

Engine 1.0.0 · Rule hash a3f8c2d1 · Sun, 22 Mar 2026 06:00:00 GMT

Reconstruction Check

military: 29.470diplomatic: 17.025economic: 11.060information: 7.180humanitarian: 6.240

Σ contributions = 70.975(reported composite: 72.5)