United Kingdom

Low
country·GBR·Score 12.5 0.2
Analyst Review
7-day trend:→ 0.0·Engine 1.0.0·Rule hash d1e53fb0

Dimension Scores

Rule-based per-dimension breakdown

MILMilitary
11
DIPDiplomatic
0
ECOEconomic
30
INFInformation
21
HUMHumanitarian
0

Dimension Radar

Relative weight of each analytical dimension

255075Military11.22Diplomatic0Economic30.39Information21.15Humanitarian0.3

Score Trend

30-day composite score history — hover for details

025507510019 Apr22 Apr24 Apr

Top Indicators

Highest-contributing signals by weight × decay

humanitarian displacement
41.2
diplomatic withdrawal
38.4
information operations
37.7
cyber intrusion
33.1
troop mobilisation
30.2
diplomatic rhetoric
28.8
sanctions pressure
28.5
trade disruption
26.1

Contribution = signal weight × decayed value. Source: rule engine trace.

Evidence Timeline

Source events that contributed to this score

  1. وزیر دفاع پاکستان: نباید در امور داخلی افغانستان مداخله می‌کردیم

    20 May 2026·military·Tolo News — Afghanistan
    Moderate
    military/armed_clash
  2. EU and UK sanction organizers of militarization of Ukrainian children in occupied territories

    Moderate
    economic/sanction
  3. UK expands sanctions on Russia over deportation of Ukrainian children, information warfare

    Moderate
    economic/sanction
  4. Bondi royal commission to hear challenge to antisemitism definition

    10 May 2026·military·ABC Australia — World News
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  5. Pressure grows on Starmer as more Labour MPs call for resignation – UK politics live

    09 May 2026·military·The Guardian World News
    Low
    economic/trade_war
  6. Pressure grows on Starmer as more Labour MPs call for resignation – UK politics live

    09 May 2026·military·The Guardian World News
    Low
    economic/trade_war
  7. Future of UK lies in the EU after Brexit ‘failure’, say European Greens

    08 May 2026·military·The Guardian World News
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  8. Polls close in elections across England, Scotland and Wales

    07 May 2026·military·The Guardian World News
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  9. Polls close in elections across England, Scotland and Wales

    07 May 2026·military·The Guardian World News
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  10. Starmer's last stand? The UK local elections

    07 May 2026·military·France 24 English
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  11. Starmer's last stand? The UK local elections

    07 May 2026·military·France 24 English
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  12. Major test for Labour as polls open in English, Scottish and Welsh elections

    07 May 2026·military·The Guardian World News
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  13. Starmer's last stand? The UK local elections

    06 May 2026·military·France 24 English
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  14. Column Rob de Wijk | The British understand better than we do what is at stake

    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  15. How close is the United Kingdom to breaking up?

    06 May 2026·military·Deutsche Welle English
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  16. Counsel for Imran, Bushra seeks adjournment of May 7 hearing, says he is not authorised to argue main appeals in £190m case

    06 May 2026·military·Dawn — Pakistan
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  17. Britain Leaves Two-Party Politics Behind

    06 May 2026·military·Foreign Policy
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  18. The 2025 Pakistan-India conflict — as it happened

    06 May 2026·military·Dawn — Pakistan
    Moderate
    military/armed_clash
  19. The 2025 Pakistan-India conflict — as it happened

    06 May 2026·military·Dawn — Pakistan
    Moderate
    military/armed_clash
  20. The 2025 Pakistan-India conflict — as it happened

    06 May 2026·military·Dawn — Pakistan
    Moderate
    military/armed_clash
  21. The 2025 Pakistan-India conflict — as it happened

    06 May 2026·military·Dawn — Pakistan
    Moderate
    military/armed_clash
  22. The 2025 Pakistan-India conflict — as it happened

    06 May 2026·military·Dawn — Pakistan
    Moderate
    military/armed_clash
  23. The 2025 Pakistan-India conflict — as it happened

    06 May 2026·military·Dawn — Pakistan
    Moderate
    military/armed_clash
  24. The 2025 Pakistan-India conflict — as it happened

    06 May 2026·military·Dawn — Pakistan
    Moderate
    military/armed_clash
  25. The 2025 Pakistan-India conflict — as it happened

    06 May 2026·military·Dawn — Pakistan
    Moderate
    military/armed_clash
  26. The 2025 Pakistan-India conflict — as it happened

    06 May 2026·military·Dawn — Pakistan
    Moderate
    military/armed_clash
  27. The 2025 Pakistan-India conflict — as it happened

    06 May 2026·military·Dawn — Pakistan
    Moderate
    military/armed_clash
  28. Britain Leaves Two-Party Politics Behind

    05 May 2026·military·Foreign Policy
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  29. Britain Leaves Two-Party Politics Behind

    05 May 2026·military·Foreign Policy
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  30. وزیر داخله آلمان: اخراج شهروندان افغانستان به کشورشان ادامه خواهد یافت

    05 May 2026·humanitarian·Tolo News — Afghanistan
    Moderate
    humanitarian/refugee_movement
  31. UK, Finland, Other Members of Media Freedom Coalition Flag ‘Troubling Trends’ in Georgia

    05 May 2026·military·Civil.ge
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  32. Support among American Jews for US-led war on Iran declines: survey

    04 May 2026·information·Dawn — Pakistan
    Moderate
    cyber/incident
  33. Reform UK plan to set up migrant detention centres in Green-voting areas condemned by other parties – as it happened

    04 May 2026·military·The Guardian World News
    Moderate
    military/explosion
  34. Reform UK plan to set up migrant detention centres in Green-voting areas condemned by other parties – UK politics live

    04 May 2026·military·The Guardian World News
    Moderate
    military/explosion
  35. Reform UK plan to set up migrant detention centres in Green-voting areas condemned by other parties – UK politics live

    04 May 2026·military·The Guardian World News
    Moderate
    military/explosion
  36. Reform UK plan to set up migrant detention centres in Green-voting areas condemned by other parties – UK politics live

    04 May 2026·military·The Guardian World News
    Moderate
    military/explosion
  37. Reform UK plan to set up migrant detention centres in Green-voting areas condemned by other parties – UK politics live

    04 May 2026·military·The Guardian World News
    Moderate
    military/explosion
  38. Reform UK plan to set up migrant detention centres in Green-voting areas condemned by other parties – UK politics live

    04 May 2026·military·The Guardian World News
    Moderate
    military/explosion
  39. Reform UK plan to set up migrant detention centres in Green-voting areas condemned by other parties – UK politics live

    04 May 2026·military·The Guardian World News
    Moderate
    military/explosion
  40. Reform UK plan to set up migrant detention centres in Green-voting areas condemned by other parties – UK politics live

    04 May 2026·military·The Guardian World News
    Moderate
    military/explosion
  41. Reform UK plan to set up migrant detention centres in Green-voting areas condemned by other parties – UK politics live

    04 May 2026·military·The Guardian World News
    Moderate
    military/explosion
  42. Reform UK plan to set up migrant detention centres in Green-voting areas condemned by other parties – UK politics live

    04 May 2026·military·The Guardian World News
    Moderate
    military/explosion
  43. Reform UK plan to set up migrant detention centres in Green-voting areas condemned by other parties – UK politics live

    04 May 2026·military·The Guardian World News
    Moderate
    military/explosion
  44. Reform UK plan to set up migrant detention centres in Green-voting areas condemned by other parties – UK politics live

    04 May 2026·military·The Guardian World News
    Moderate
    military/explosion
  45. Reform UK plan to set up migrant detention centres in Green-voting areas condemned by other parties – UK politics live

    04 May 2026·military·The Guardian World News
    Moderate
    military/explosion
  46. Reform UK plan to set up migrant detention centres in Green-voting areas condemned by other parties – UK politics live

    04 May 2026·military·The Guardian World News
    Moderate
    military/explosion
  47. Reform UK plan to set up migrant detention centres in Green-voting areas condemned by other parties – UK politics live

    04 May 2026·military·The Guardian World News
    Moderate
    military/explosion
  48. Reform UK plan to set up migrant detention centres in Green-voting areas condemned by other parties – UK politics live

    04 May 2026·military·The Guardian World News
    Moderate
    military/explosion
  49. IHC rejects Imran, Bushra's pleas seeking suspension of sentences in £190m graft case

    04 May 2026·information·Dawn — Pakistan
    Moderate
    cyber/incident
  50. Starmer says UK opening talks with EU on joining €90bn loan scheme for Ukraine – UK politics live

    04 May 2026·information·The Guardian World News
    Moderate
    cyber/incident

Market Signal Indicators

15 analytical signals · derived from current threat score

⚠ Analytical purposes only — not investment advice. Consult a qualified financial adviser before trading.

BUY1 instrument
EWUiShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (LSE / FTSE 100)
composite 12.5

UK composite threat score below 25 (Low) — geopolitical calm supports FTSE equity risk premium compression; consider EWU exposure.

market/national_equity_buy_gbr_v1

SELL14 instruments
GLDSPDR Gold Shares ETF
composite 12.5

Composite threat score below 25 (Low range) — geopolitical calm; safe-haven premium may compress as risk-on appetite returns.

market/safe_haven_sell_v1

TLTiShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
composite 12.5

Composite threat score below 25 (Low range) — geopolitical calm; safe-haven premium may compress as risk-on appetite returns.

market/safe_haven_sell_v1

ASMLASML Holding NV (NASDAQ-listed)
military 11.2

Military threat score below 25 (Low) — cross-strait and peninsula calm reduces geopolitical risk premium in semiconductor valuations; supply-chain disruption fears recede.

market/semiconductor_sell_v1

GDGeneral Dynamics Corp
military 11.2

Military threat score below 25 (Low range) — de-escalation signals; defense sector premium may compress as conflict-related demand subsides.

market/defense_sell_v1

ITAiShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF
military 11.2

Military threat score below 25 (Low range) — de-escalation signals; defense sector premium may compress as conflict-related demand subsides.

market/defense_sell_v1

LHXL3Harris Technologies Inc
military 11.2

Military threat score below 25 (Low range) — de-escalation signals; defense sector premium may compress as conflict-related demand subsides.

market/defense_sell_v1

LMTLockheed Martin Corp
military 11.2

Military threat score below 25 (Low range) — de-escalation signals; defense sector premium may compress as conflict-related demand subsides.

market/defense_sell_v1

NOCNorthrop Grumman Corp
military 11.2

Military threat score below 25 (Low range) — de-escalation signals; defense sector premium may compress as conflict-related demand subsides.

market/defense_sell_v1

PPAInvesco Aerospace & Defense ETF
military 11.2

Military threat score below 25 (Low range) — de-escalation signals; defense sector premium may compress as conflict-related demand subsides.

market/defense_sell_v1

RTXRTX Corporation
military 11.2

Military threat score below 25 (Low range) — de-escalation signals; defense sector premium may compress as conflict-related demand subsides.

market/defense_sell_v1

SMHVanEck Semiconductor ETF
military 11.2

Military threat score below 25 (Low) — cross-strait and peninsula calm reduces geopolitical risk premium in semiconductor valuations; supply-chain disruption fears recede.

market/semiconductor_sell_v1

SOXXiShares Semiconductor ETF
military 11.2

Military threat score below 25 (Low) — cross-strait and peninsula calm reduces geopolitical risk premium in semiconductor valuations; supply-chain disruption fears recede.

market/semiconductor_sell_v1

TSMTaiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSMC ADR)
military 11.2

Military threat score below 25 (Low) — cross-strait and peninsula calm reduces geopolitical risk premium in semiconductor valuations; supply-chain disruption fears recede.

market/semiconductor_sell_v1

XARSPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF
military 11.2

Military threat score below 25 (Low range) — de-escalation signals; defense sector premium may compress as conflict-related demand subsides.

market/defense_sell_v1

Score Explanation

Engine 1.0.0 · Rule hash a3f8c2d1 · Sun, 22 Mar 2026 06:00:00 GMT

Reconstruction Check

military: 29.470diplomatic: 17.025economic: 11.060information: 7.180humanitarian: 6.240

Σ contributions = 70.975(reported composite: 72.5)