Georgia

Low
country·GEO·Score 10.0→ 0.0
Analyst Review
7-day trend:→ 0.0·Engine 1.0.0·Rule hash d1e53fb0

Dimension Scores

Rule-based per-dimension breakdown

MILMilitary
1
DIPDiplomatic
7
ECOEconomic
29
INFInformation
46
HUMHumanitarian
1

Dimension Radar

Relative weight of each analytical dimension

255075Military1.26Diplomatic7Economic28.84Information45.87Humanitarian0.61

Score Trend

30-day composite score history — hover for details

025507510019 Apr23 Apr25 Apr

Top Indicators

Highest-contributing signals by weight × decay

humanitarian displacement
41.2
diplomatic withdrawal
38.4
information operations
37.7
cyber intrusion
33.1
troop mobilisation
30.2
diplomatic rhetoric
28.8
sanctions pressure
28.5
trade disruption
26.1

Contribution = signal weight × decayed value. Source: rule engine trace.

Evidence Timeline

Source events that contributed to this score

  1. Georgia: Remains of eleven people missing in connection with 1992–93 armed conflict handed over to families

    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  2. Tuesday, 19 May 2026

    20 May 2026·military·OC Media
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  3. Georgian local exports reach record high as trade shows strong growth

    20 May 2026·information·OC Media
    Moderate
    cyber/incident
  4. Bank of Georgia signs $45 million Trade Finance Facility with Citi and Asian Development Bank

    20 May 2026·information·OC Media
    Moderate
    cyber/incident
  5. Georgia to create special Interior Ministry department to monitor and penalise ‘hate speech’

    20 May 2026·military·OC Media
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  6. Georgia condemns Danish police brutality, despite years of own history of police violence

    20 May 2026·military·OC Media
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  7. SSSG Arrests Three Georgian Citizens in Pankisi Gorge on Terrorism Allegations Linked to Islamic State

    20 May 2026·military·Civil.ge
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  8. Disputed Parliament Speaker Shalva Papuashvili Visits China

    20 May 2026·military·Civil.ge
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  9. Georgia Has Fourth-Highest Prison Population Rate in Council of Europe’s 2025 Report

    20 May 2026·information·Civil.ge
    Moderate
    cyber/incident
  10. Georgia’s Foreign Trade Up 1.7% in January-April 2026

    20 May 2026·military·Civil.ge
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  11. Kaladze Extends ‘Condolences’ as Saarbrücken Breaks Off Contacts with Partner City Tbilisi

    20 May 2026·military·Civil.ge
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  12. ECtHR Finds No Violation of Freedom of Expression in Georgian Activist’s Viral TikTok Case

    20 May 2026·military·Civil.ge
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  13. Man Arrested After Car Drove Into Patriarchate Yard

    20 May 2026·military·Civil.ge
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  14. Georgian Dream Proposes Exempting Broadcasters Without Political Content From Foreign Funding Ban

    20 May 2026·military·Civil.ge
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  15. Sokhumi Reports One-Year Sentence for Georgian Citizen Over ‘Illegal Border Crossing’

    20 May 2026·military·Civil.ge
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  16. Opinion: ‘Georgian government’s goal is to intimidate people’

    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  17. Georgia’s prime minister accuses Denmark of democratic backsliding in open letter to the EU

    Low
    diplomatic/protest
  18. Three detained on terrorism charges in Georgia’s Pankisi Gorge

    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  19. Opinion: ‘Georgian Dream uses violations in European countries to justify itself’

    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  20. Unemployment falls in Georgia, but the overall labour market picture remains challenging

    Moderate
    cyber/incident
  21. Latest news in Georgia, Armenia, Azerbaijan, summary. Live

    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  22. Republican redistricting effort is ‘evil incarnate’, Stacey Abrams tells new Guardian podcast

    13 May 2026·military·The Guardian World News
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  23. Georgia’s Republican governor calls for special session to redraw electoral maps

    13 May 2026·military·The Guardian World News
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  24. European Parliament Suspends Access for Pro-Government Imedi TV, Channel Says

    13 May 2026·information·Civil.ge
    Moderate
    cyber/incident
  25. European Parliament Suspends Access for Pro-Government Imedi TV, Channel Says

    13 May 2026·information·Civil.ge
    Moderate
    cyber/incident
  26. Georgia’s Republican governor calls for special session to redraw electoral maps

    13 May 2026·military·The Guardian World News
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  27. Opinion: ‘Georgia’s next patriarch may be aligned with government’

    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  28. Georgians Rank Second in EU Returns in 2025, Eurostat Data Shows

    13 May 2026·military·Civil.ge
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  29. Former Georgian rugby captain and players receive lengthy bans amidst doping accusations

    13 May 2026·military·OC Media
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  30. Georgians Rank Second in EU Returns in 2025, Eurostat Data Shows

    13 May 2026·military·Civil.ge
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  31. “Unity and the ability to defend ourselves are everything Abkhazia needs” – Opposition leader Adgur Ardzinba, video interview

    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  32. Police Arrest 44 in Crackdown on ‘Thieves’ World’

    13 May 2026·military·Civil.ge
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  33. Shio III Delivers First Sermon as Patriarch of Georgian Orthodox Church

    13 May 2026·military·Civil.ge
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  34. Georgia Hosts U.S.-led Trojan Footprint 2026 Drills

    13 May 2026·military·Civil.ge
    Moderate
    military/troop_movement
  35. French National Assembly adopts key resolution on Georgia

    Moderate
    cyber/incident
  36. Six Georgian Rugby Players, Including Former Captain, Receive Bans Over Anti-Doping Violations

    13 May 2026·military·Civil.ge
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  37. WADA suspends six Georgian rugby players, former team doctor over doping violations

    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  38. Congratulations Pour In as Shio III Becomes New Patriarch of Georgian Orthodox Church

    13 May 2026·information·Civil.ge
    Moderate
    cyber/incident
  39. Latest news in Georgia, Armenia, Azerbaijan, summary. Live

    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  40. Former national rugby captain banned over urine-swapping drug test scheme

    12 May 2026·military·ABC Australia — World News
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  41. French National Assembly Resolution Condemns GD’s ‘Illiberal and Authoritarian Drift,’ Calls for Sanctions Against Ivanishvili

    12 May 2026·diplomatic·Civil.ge
    Moderate
    economic/sanction
  42. Shio III Enthroned as Patriarch of Georgian Orthodox Church

    12 May 2026·military·Civil.ge
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  43. Report finds Georgian Dream’s 2025 income, including donations, far outstrip all other parties combined

    12 May 2026·military·OC Media
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  44. New Georgian Patriarch Shio III enthroned

    12 May 2026·military·OC Media
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  45. ‘Nation needs spiritual strength’ – Georgian politicians congratulate new Patriarch

    Moderate
    cyber/incident
  46. Shio III Enthroned as Patriarch of Georgian Orthodox Church

    12 May 2026·military·Civil.ge
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  47. Latest news in Georgia, Armenia, Azerbaijan, summary. Live

    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  48. Georgian Orthodox Church chooses new Catholicos-Patriarch at Holy Synod session

    11 May 2026·military·Meduza (English)
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  49. Congratulations Pour In as Shio III Becomes New Patriarch of Georgian Orthodox Church

    11 May 2026·information·Civil.ge
    Moderate
    cyber/incident
  50. Starmer pledges to bring Britain closer to the EU as he faces calls to step down

    11 May 2026·information·France 24 English
    Moderate
    cyber/incident

Market Signal Indicators

14 analytical signals · derived from current threat score

⚠ Analytical purposes only — not investment advice. Consult a qualified financial adviser before trading.

SELL14 instruments
GLDSPDR Gold Shares ETF
composite 10.0

Composite threat score below 25 (Low range) — geopolitical calm; safe-haven premium may compress as risk-on appetite returns.

market/safe_haven_sell_v1

TLTiShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
composite 10.0

Composite threat score below 25 (Low range) — geopolitical calm; safe-haven premium may compress as risk-on appetite returns.

market/safe_haven_sell_v1

ASMLASML Holding NV (NASDAQ-listed)
military 1.3

Military threat score below 25 (Low) — cross-strait and peninsula calm reduces geopolitical risk premium in semiconductor valuations; supply-chain disruption fears recede.

market/semiconductor_sell_v1

GDGeneral Dynamics Corp
military 1.3

Military threat score below 25 (Low range) — de-escalation signals; defense sector premium may compress as conflict-related demand subsides.

market/defense_sell_v1

ITAiShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF
military 1.3

Military threat score below 25 (Low range) — de-escalation signals; defense sector premium may compress as conflict-related demand subsides.

market/defense_sell_v1

LHXL3Harris Technologies Inc
military 1.3

Military threat score below 25 (Low range) — de-escalation signals; defense sector premium may compress as conflict-related demand subsides.

market/defense_sell_v1

LMTLockheed Martin Corp
military 1.3

Military threat score below 25 (Low range) — de-escalation signals; defense sector premium may compress as conflict-related demand subsides.

market/defense_sell_v1

NOCNorthrop Grumman Corp
military 1.3

Military threat score below 25 (Low range) — de-escalation signals; defense sector premium may compress as conflict-related demand subsides.

market/defense_sell_v1

PPAInvesco Aerospace & Defense ETF
military 1.3

Military threat score below 25 (Low range) — de-escalation signals; defense sector premium may compress as conflict-related demand subsides.

market/defense_sell_v1

RTXRTX Corporation
military 1.3

Military threat score below 25 (Low range) — de-escalation signals; defense sector premium may compress as conflict-related demand subsides.

market/defense_sell_v1

SMHVanEck Semiconductor ETF
military 1.3

Military threat score below 25 (Low) — cross-strait and peninsula calm reduces geopolitical risk premium in semiconductor valuations; supply-chain disruption fears recede.

market/semiconductor_sell_v1

SOXXiShares Semiconductor ETF
military 1.3

Military threat score below 25 (Low) — cross-strait and peninsula calm reduces geopolitical risk premium in semiconductor valuations; supply-chain disruption fears recede.

market/semiconductor_sell_v1

TSMTaiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSMC ADR)
military 1.3

Military threat score below 25 (Low) — cross-strait and peninsula calm reduces geopolitical risk premium in semiconductor valuations; supply-chain disruption fears recede.

market/semiconductor_sell_v1

XARSPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF
military 1.3

Military threat score below 25 (Low range) — de-escalation signals; defense sector premium may compress as conflict-related demand subsides.

market/defense_sell_v1

Score Explanation

Engine 1.0.0 · Rule hash a3f8c2d1 · Sun, 22 Mar 2026 06:00:00 GMT

Reconstruction Check

military: 29.470diplomatic: 17.025economic: 11.060information: 7.180humanitarian: 6.240

Σ contributions = 70.975(reported composite: 72.5)