Haiti

Low
country·HTI·Score 17.8 7.2
Analyst Review
7-day trend:→ 0.0·Engine 1.0.0·Rule hash d1e53fb0

Dimension Scores

Rule-based per-dimension breakdown

MILMilitary
23
DIPDiplomatic
0
ECOEconomic
2
INFInformation
24
HUMHumanitarian
14

Dimension Radar

Relative weight of each analytical dimension

255075Military23.34Diplomatic0Economic2.27Information23.68Humanitarian14.26

Score Trend

30-day composite score history — hover for details

025507510019 Apr27 Apr3 May

Top Indicators

Highest-contributing signals by weight × decay

humanitarian displacement
41.2
diplomatic withdrawal
38.4
information operations
37.7
cyber intrusion
33.1
troop mobilisation
30.2
diplomatic rhetoric
28.8
sanctions pressure
28.5
trade disruption
26.1

Contribution = signal weight × decayed value. Source: rule engine trace.

Evidence Timeline

Source events that contributed to this score

  1. Haiti - Compte Rendu de Réunion, En ligne, 08 mai 2026

    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  2. Haiti : Violence and displacement in Artibonite - Flash Update No. 2 (as of 15 May 2026)

    20 May 2026·humanitarian·ReliefWeb Humanitarian Reports (UN OCHA)
    Moderate
    humanitarian/refugee_movement
  3. WFP Haiti Country Brief April 2026

    Low
    economic/food_security
  4. Haiti - Emergency Tracking Tool (ETT) 93.1 — Updates on displacement following armed clashes in Cité Soleil (West Department) (10 - 15 May 2026)

    Moderate
    military/armed_clash
  5. UN Special Representative Patten urges for immediate action as sexual violence surges amid gang violence in Haiti

    20 May 2026·humanitarian·ReliefWeb Humanitarian Reports (UN OCHA)
    Moderate
    humanitarian/refugee_movement
  6. Latin America & The Caribbean Weekly Situation Update as of 15 May 2026

    Moderate
    military/armed_clash
  7. Seeds of Equity and Inclusion in Germination!

    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  8. Haiti : Violences et déplacements dans l’Artibonite - Flash Update No. 2 (au 15 mai 2026)

    Moderate
    aviation/airspace_restriction
  9. des graines d’équité et d’inclusion en germination!

    Moderate
    cyber/incident
  10. Haïti - Sous-cluster de VBG : Suivi de la réponse humanitaire (de janvier à mars 2026)

    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  11. Haïti : Cluster Abris et Biens non alimentaires - Aperçu de la réponse : avril 2026

    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  12. IMAWG Haïti : Compte rendu de réunion, en ligne, 14 mai 2026 [Meeting Minutes]

    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  13. Latinoamérica y El Caribe Resumen de Situación Semanal al 15 de mayo 2026

    20 May 2026·humanitarian·ReliefWeb Humanitarian Reports (UN OCHA)
    Moderate
    humanitarian/refugee_movement
  14. Haïti: Suivi des Urgences 93.1 — Mise à jour sur les déplacements liés aux affrontements armés à Cité Soleil (Département de L'Ouest) (10 - 15 mai 2026)

    20 May 2026·humanitarian·ReliefWeb Humanitarian Reports (UN OCHA)
    Moderate
    humanitarian/refugee_movement
  15. WFP Haiti Country Brief, March 2026

    20 May 2026·humanitarian·ReliefWeb Humanitarian Reports (UN OCHA)
    Moderate
    humanitarian/refugee_movement
  16. Haiti: Emergency and Resilience Plan, 2026–2028

    20 May 2026·humanitarian·ReliefWeb Humanitarian Reports (UN OCHA)
    Moderate
    humanitarian/refugee_movement
  17. Groupe de Travail sur les Transferts Monétaires en Haïti (GTTM/CBTWG) - Compte rendu de la réunion mensuelle du CBTWG (Date : 4 mars 2026) [Meeting Minutes]

    Moderate
    aviation/airspace_restriction
  18. Haiti : Humanitarian Response in Artibonite ( Situation Report as of 30 April 2026)

    20 May 2026·humanitarian·ReliefWeb Humanitarian Reports (UN OCHA)
    Moderate
    humanitarian/refugee_movement
  19. Haiti : Violences et déplacements dans le département de l’Ouest - Flash Update No. 1 (au 13 mai 2026)

    Moderate
    aviation/airspace_restriction
  20. Haiti : Violence and displacement in the West Department – Flash Update No. 1 (as of 13 May 2026)

    Moderate
    military/armed_clash
  21. Haiti: Drone attacks raise serious human rights concerns and threaten children

    20 May 2026·humanitarian·ReliefWeb Humanitarian Reports (UN OCHA)
    Moderate
    humanitarian/civilian_violence
  22. Haiti : Réponses humanitaires dans l’Artibonite (Au 30 avril 2026)

    Moderate
    aviation/airspace_restriction
  23. Haïti : Cluster Abris et Biens non alimentaires - Aperçu de la réponse : mars 2026

    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  24. Haiti - Emergency Tracking Tool (ETT) 93 — Displacement following armed clashes in Cité Soleil (10 - 12 May 2026)

    Moderate
    military/armed_clash
  25. Haïti: Suivi des Urgences 93 — Déplacements liés aux affrontements armés à Cité Soleil (Ouest) (10 - 12 mai 2026)

    Moderate
    aviation/airspace_restriction
  26. Gang violence displaces hundreds in Haiti’s capital

    13 May 2026·diplomatic·Al Jazeera English — World News
    Low
    diplomatic/protest
  27. Engaging with diaspora in humanitarian crises: Five case studies of IOM programmes

    Low
    diplomatic/protest
  28. Haiti – Armed groups confrontation in Port au Prince cause mass displacement (DG ECHO Partners, MSF, media) (ECHO Daily Flash of 12 May 2026)

    12 May 2026·humanitarian·ReliefWeb Humanitarian Reports (UN OCHA)
    Moderate
    humanitarian/refugee_movement
  29. Haiti – Armed groups confrontation in Port au Prince cause mass displacement (DG ECHO Partners, MSF, media) (ECHO Daily Flash of 12 May 2026)

    12 May 2026·humanitarian·ReliefWeb Humanitarian Reports (UN OCHA)
    Moderate
    humanitarian/refugee_movement
  30. The Bahamas goes to polls in three-way battle with immigration a key issue

    12 May 2026·military·The Guardian World News
    Moderate
    military/armed_clash
  31. Hundreds more displaced as gang violence escalates in Haiti’s capital

    12 May 2026·humanitarian·Al Jazeera English — World News
    Moderate
    humanitarian/refugee_movement
  32. Haiti: FAO launches an emergency food production response for 326 000 people with support from the Regional Humanitarian Fund for Latin America and the Caribbean (RHPF LAC)

    Low
    economic/food_security
  33. Haïti: la FAO lance une réponse de production alimentaire d’urgence pour 326 000 personnes grâce au soutien du Fonds humanitaire régional pour l’Amérique latine et les Caraïbes (RHPF LAC)

    Moderate
    cyber/incident
  34. Haití: la FAO lanza una respuesta de producción alimentaria de emergencia para 326 000 personas gracias al apoyo del Fondo Humanitario Regional para América Latina y el Caribe (RHPF LAC)

    Moderate
    military/armed_clash
  35. Haiti’s PM casts doubt on presidential vote by August as gang clashes grow

    12 May 2026·military·Al Jazeera English — World News
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  36. Haiti’s PM casts doubt on presidential vote by August as gang clashes grow

    12 May 2026·military·Al Jazeera English — World News
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  37. Haiti too unstable for elections, PM says, as gang violence intensifies

    12 May 2026·military·Al Jazeera English — World News
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  38. UNHCR Haiti Situation Update (January - March 2026)

    Moderate
    military/troop_movement
  39. Haiti: MSF forced to evacuate its hospital in Cité Soleil and temporarily suspend activities there

    Moderate
    cyber/incident
  40. Latin America & The Caribbean Weekly Situation Update as of 11 May 2026

    11 May 2026·humanitarian·ReliefWeb Humanitarian Reports (UN OCHA)
    Moderate
    humanitarian/refugee_movement
  41. Latinoamérica y El Caribe Resumen de Situación Semanal al 11 de mayo 2026

    11 May 2026·humanitarian·ReliefWeb Humanitarian Reports (UN OCHA)
    Moderate
    humanitarian/refugee_movement
  42. Hundreds displaced, medical services suspended amid gang violence in Haiti

    11 May 2026·humanitarian·Al Jazeera English — World News
    Moderate
    humanitarian/refugee_movement
  43. Daily Press Briefing by the Office of the Spokesperson for the Secretary-General

    11 May 2026·military·UN Security Council Press Releases
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  44. Four south Florida men convicted in Haitian president’s assassination

    08 May 2026·military·The Guardian World News
    Moderate
    military/troop_movement
  45. Four south Florida men convicted in Haitian president’s assassination

    08 May 2026·military·The Guardian World News
    Moderate
    military/troop_movement
  46. Four convicted in US related to killing of Haitian President Jovenel Moise

    08 May 2026·military·Al Jazeera English — World News
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  47. Haiti: More than 1,600 people killed in the first quarter of 2026, a human rights situation that remains extremely worrying

    08 May 2026·humanitarian·ReliefWeb Humanitarian Reports (UN OCHA)
    Moderate
    humanitarian/civilian_violence
  48. Haïti : Plus de 1 600 personnes tuées au premier trimestre 2026, une situation des droits humains toujours extrêmement préoccupante

    Moderate
    military/armed_clash
  49. Haïti — Suivi des Urgences 92 — Déplacements liés aux attaques armées à Petite Rivière de l'Artibonite et Dessalines (2 - 7 mai 2026)

    08 May 2026·humanitarian·ReliefWeb Humanitarian Reports (UN OCHA)
    Moderate
    humanitarian/refugee_movement
  50. Haiti — Emergency Tracking Tool 92 — Displacement following armed attacks in Petite Rivière of Artibonite and Dessalines (2 - 7 May 2026)

    08 May 2026·humanitarian·ReliefWeb Humanitarian Reports (UN OCHA)
    Moderate
    humanitarian/refugee_movement

Market Signal Indicators

25 analytical signals · derived from current threat score

⚠ Analytical purposes only — not investment advice. Consult a qualified financial adviser before trading.

SELL25 instruments
GLDSPDR Gold Shares ETF
composite 17.8

Composite threat score below 25 (Low range) — geopolitical calm; safe-haven premium may compress as risk-on appetite returns.

market/safe_haven_sell_v1

TLTiShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
composite 17.8

Composite threat score below 25 (Low range) — geopolitical calm; safe-haven premium may compress as risk-on appetite returns.

market/safe_haven_sell_v1

BPBP plc
economic 2.3

Economic threat score below 25 (Low) — geopolitical supply-side risk premium unwinding; energy stocks that outperformed during elevated tension periods may face de-rating as conflict-driven price support recedes.

market/energy_stocks_sell_v1

CVXChevron Corp
economic 2.3

Economic threat score below 25 (Low) — geopolitical supply-side risk premium unwinding; energy stocks that outperformed during elevated tension periods may face de-rating as conflict-driven price support recedes.

market/energy_stocks_sell_v1

FROFrontline plc
economic 2.3

Economic threat score below 25 (Low) — shipping lane normalisation compresses freight rate premium; tanker operators that re-rated on disruption may mean-revert.

market/shipping_sell_v1

MPMP Materials Corp
economic 2.3

Economic threat score below 25 (Low) — supply-chain normalisation reduces critical mineral scarcity premium; REMX and MP may de-rate.

market/critical_minerals_sell_v1

REMXVanEck Rare Earth & Strategic Metals ETF
economic 2.3

Economic threat score below 25 (Low) — supply-chain normalisation reduces critical mineral scarcity premium; REMX and MP may de-rate.

market/critical_minerals_sell_v1

SHELShell plc
economic 2.3

Economic threat score below 25 (Low) — geopolitical supply-side risk premium unwinding; energy stocks that outperformed during elevated tension periods may face de-rating as conflict-driven price support recedes.

market/energy_stocks_sell_v1

STNGScorpio Tankers Inc
economic 2.3

Economic threat score below 25 (Low) — shipping lane normalisation compresses freight rate premium; tanker operators that re-rated on disruption may mean-revert.

market/shipping_sell_v1

TTETotalEnergies SE
economic 2.3

Economic threat score below 25 (Low) — geopolitical supply-side risk premium unwinding; energy stocks that outperformed during elevated tension periods may face de-rating as conflict-driven price support recedes.

market/energy_stocks_sell_v1

XLEEnergy Select Sector SPDR Fund
economic 2.3

Economic threat score below 25 (Low) — geopolitical supply-side risk premium unwinding; energy stocks that outperformed during elevated tension periods may face de-rating as conflict-driven price support recedes.

market/energy_stocks_sell_v1

XOMExxonMobil Corp
economic 2.3

Economic threat score below 25 (Low) — geopolitical supply-side risk premium unwinding; energy stocks that outperformed during elevated tension periods may face de-rating as conflict-driven price support recedes.

market/energy_stocks_sell_v1

ZIMZIM Integrated Shipping Services
economic 2.3

Economic threat score below 25 (Low) — shipping lane normalisation compresses freight rate premium; tanker operators that re-rated on disruption may mean-revert.

market/shipping_sell_v1

ASMLASML Holding NV (NASDAQ-listed)
military 23.3

Military threat score below 25 (Low) — cross-strait and peninsula calm reduces geopolitical risk premium in semiconductor valuations; supply-chain disruption fears recede.

market/semiconductor_sell_v1

GDGeneral Dynamics Corp
military 23.3

Military threat score below 25 (Low range) — de-escalation signals; defense sector premium may compress as conflict-related demand subsides.

market/defense_sell_v1

ITAiShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF
military 23.3

Military threat score below 25 (Low range) — de-escalation signals; defense sector premium may compress as conflict-related demand subsides.

market/defense_sell_v1

LHXL3Harris Technologies Inc
military 23.3

Military threat score below 25 (Low range) — de-escalation signals; defense sector premium may compress as conflict-related demand subsides.

market/defense_sell_v1

LMTLockheed Martin Corp
military 23.3

Military threat score below 25 (Low range) — de-escalation signals; defense sector premium may compress as conflict-related demand subsides.

market/defense_sell_v1

NOCNorthrop Grumman Corp
military 23.3

Military threat score below 25 (Low range) — de-escalation signals; defense sector premium may compress as conflict-related demand subsides.

market/defense_sell_v1

PPAInvesco Aerospace & Defense ETF
military 23.3

Military threat score below 25 (Low range) — de-escalation signals; defense sector premium may compress as conflict-related demand subsides.

market/defense_sell_v1

RTXRTX Corporation
military 23.3

Military threat score below 25 (Low range) — de-escalation signals; defense sector premium may compress as conflict-related demand subsides.

market/defense_sell_v1

SMHVanEck Semiconductor ETF
military 23.3

Military threat score below 25 (Low) — cross-strait and peninsula calm reduces geopolitical risk premium in semiconductor valuations; supply-chain disruption fears recede.

market/semiconductor_sell_v1

SOXXiShares Semiconductor ETF
military 23.3

Military threat score below 25 (Low) — cross-strait and peninsula calm reduces geopolitical risk premium in semiconductor valuations; supply-chain disruption fears recede.

market/semiconductor_sell_v1

TSMTaiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSMC ADR)
military 23.3

Military threat score below 25 (Low) — cross-strait and peninsula calm reduces geopolitical risk premium in semiconductor valuations; supply-chain disruption fears recede.

market/semiconductor_sell_v1

XARSPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF
military 23.3

Military threat score below 25 (Low range) — de-escalation signals; defense sector premium may compress as conflict-related demand subsides.

market/defense_sell_v1

Score Explanation

Engine 1.0.0 · Rule hash a3f8c2d1 · Sun, 22 Mar 2026 06:00:00 GMT

Reconstruction Check

military: 29.470diplomatic: 17.025economic: 11.060information: 7.180humanitarian: 6.240

Σ contributions = 70.975(reported composite: 72.5)