Sudan
LowDimension Scores
Rule-based per-dimension breakdown
Dimension Radar
Relative weight of each analytical dimension
Score Trend
30-day composite score history — hover for details
Top Indicators
Highest-contributing signals by weight × decay
Contribution = signal weight × decayed value. Source: rule engine trace.
Evidence Timeline
Source events that contributed to this score
Solidarités International Newsletter May 2026 - Sudan Mission
Moderatehumanitarian/refugee_movementCrisis in Darfur: “This is a war against civilians”
Lowunknown/unmappedWFP Sudan Market Monitor - April 2026
Moderatecyber/incidentOut of the spotlight: The war in Sudan enters its fourth year
Moderatehumanitarian/refugee_movementSudan Key Facts and Figures (April 2026)
Lowunknown/unmappedMiddle East war causing “most expensive Eid ever” and rising global hunger
Moderatehumanitarian/refugee_movementStatement of the Sudan Women Advisory Group to the Humanitarian Country Team (HCT) on the killing of several volunteers and humanitarian workers in Dilling in South Kordofan state [EN/AR]
Moderatemilitary/armed_clashNew Figures on Hunger in Sudan: Nearly 19.5 million people are Facing High Levels of Acute Food Insecurity
Moderatehumanitarian/refugee_movementSudan Crisis Situation Analysis: (Period: 04/05/26 - 10/05/26)
Moderatehumanitarian/refugee_movementCommuniqué de presse conjoint – PAM/FAO/UNICEF : Le risque de famine persiste alors que près de 19,5 millions de personnes sont confrontées à une insécurité alimentaire aiguë au Soudan
Moderatehumanitarian/refugee_movementSudanese Are Not Waiting for International Support—They Have Begun the Recovery from Within
Loweconomic/food_securityUNHCR Sudan: Flash Update #8 – Darfur and Kordofan Situation Update (March – April 2026)
Moderatemilitary/armed_clashWFP Sudan Market Monitor - May 2026
Lowunknown/unmappedComunicado de prensa conjunto - WFP/FAO/UNICEF: Persiste el riesgo de hambruna, ya que casi 19,5 millones de personas se enfrentan a una inseguridad alimentaria aguda en Sudán
Moderatehumanitarian/refugee_movementAttacks on Health Care in Sudan, 29 April - 12 May 2026
Moderatecyber/incidentSudan Protection Cluster: Protection Risks Severity Classification (March 2026)
Moderatemilitary/armed_clashRisk of Famine Continues to Stalk Families in Sudan as Hunger Deepens | World Food Programme
Moderatehumanitarian/refugee_movementJoint News Release WFP/FAO/UNICEF: Risk of Famine persists as nearly 19.5 million people face acute food insecurity in Sudan
Moderatehumanitarian/refugee_movementSudan Strategy Support Program Working Paper 26 - Farming in Crisis: Livelihood Challenges and Resilience in Conflict-Affected Sudan (May 2026)
Moderatehumanitarian/refugee_movementSudan IPC analysis: increasing severity of hunger and mass starvation
Loweconomic/food_securitySudan: Major food and nutrition crisis persists as conflict enters fourth year and risk of Famine looms (IPC Special Snapshot & Recommendations)
Moderatehumanitarian/refugee_movementSudan Humanitarian Needs and Response Plan 2026 (April 2026) [EN/AR]
Moderatemilitary/armed_clashWFP Sudan Market Monitor - March 2026
Lowunknown/unmappedINGO Forum Reactive Statement on Sudan IPC Findings
Loweconomic/food_securityICRC RED Aircraft to Operate from Jeddah to Strengthen Humanitarian Access to Sudan
Moderatecyber/incidentSudan Nashra: Ethiopia revokes Sudanese ambassador-designate’s credentials | Juba asks Cairo to evacuate military base near Ethiopian border as preemptive move | Another Mahamid field commander defects from RSF | RSF aid coordination authority orders agencies to register, Khartoum warns against compliance
Lowunknown/unmappedSudan: RSF commander ‘Abu Lulu’ must be removed from battlefield immediately amid war crimes allegations
Moderatemilitary/armed_clashICRC RED aircraft to operate from Jeddah to strengthen humanitarian access to Sudan
Moderatecyber/incidentAGRA Report Spotlights Growing Food Insecurity, Surging Commodity Prices in Ethiopia
Moderatehumanitarian/refugee_movementGhana to bring home 300 after anti-migrant incidents in S.Africa
Moderatehumanitarian/refugee_movementDaily Press Briefing by the Office of the Spokesperson for the Secretary-General
Moderatehumanitarian/refugee_movementDaily Press Briefing by the Office of the Spokesperson for the Secretary-General
Moderatehumanitarian/refugee_movementDaily Press Briefing by the Office of the Spokesperson for the Secretary-General
Moderatehumanitarian/refugee_movementACAPS Sudan Risk Analysis [2026] (Thematic Report 13 May 2026)
Moderatehumanitarian/refugee_movementSudan: UN Warns Sudan War Entering 'Deadlier Phase'
Moderatemilitary/armed_clashSudan: Between Khartoum and Nyala - Humanitarian Aid Stuck Amid Legitimacy Conflict
Moderatemilitary/armed_clashSudan: Between Khartoum and Nyala - Humanitarian Aid Stuck Amid Legitimacy Conflict
Moderatemilitary/armed_clashStrategic SWOT Analysis of Protection from Sexual Exploitation and Abuse (PSEA) Programming in Sudan (2024-2025): Informing the Development of the two-year 2026-27 UNCT/HCT PSEA Action Plan – January 2026
Moderatecyber/incidentFighting in Sudan’s Blue Nile State displaces thousands
Lowunknown/unmappedUNHCR Sudan - Ethiopian Refugees Overview in Sudan as of 30 April 2026
Moderatehumanitarian/refugee_movementSudan: Eritrean Refugees Overview in Sudan (as of 30 April 2026)
Moderatehumanitarian/refugee_movementUNHCR Sudan - South Sudanese Refugees in Sudan Dashboard as of 30 April 2026
Moderatehumanitarian/refugee_movementUNHCR Sudan - Overview of Refugees and IDPs in Sudan Dashboard as of 30 April 2026
Moderatehumanitarian/refugee_movementUNHCR Sudan - Overview of Refugees and Asylum-seekers in Sudan Dashboard as of 30 April 2026
Moderatehumanitarian/refugee_movementSudan Site Management and Shelter & NFI Cluster: Preparedness and Response Plan (May 2026)
Moderatehumanitarian/refugee_movementShelter Failure in Sudan is a Protection Risk: Urgent Funding Needed Before the Rains - May 2026
Moderatehumanitarian/refugee_movementSudan: UN Warns Sudan War Entering 'Deadlier Phase' As Drone Strikes Kill Hundreds, Attacks Spread Across Multiple Regions
Moderatemilitary/armed_clashSudan: UN Warns Sudan War Entering 'Deadlier Phase' As Drone Strikes Kill Hundreds, Attacks Spread Across Multiple Regions
Moderatemilitary/armed_clashSudan: UN Warns Sudan War Entering 'Deadlier Phase' As Drone Strikes Kill Hundreds, Attacks Spread Across Multiple Regions
Moderatemilitary/armed_clashWhy have peace efforts failed to end conflict in Sudan?
Lowunknown/unmapped
Market Signal Indicators
14 analytical signals · derived from current threat score
⚠ Analytical purposes only — not investment advice. Consult a qualified financial adviser before trading.
Composite threat score below 25 (Low range) — geopolitical calm; safe-haven premium may compress as risk-on appetite returns.
market/safe_haven_sell_v1
Composite threat score below 25 (Low range) — geopolitical calm; safe-haven premium may compress as risk-on appetite returns.
market/safe_haven_sell_v1
Military threat score below 25 (Low) — cross-strait and peninsula calm reduces geopolitical risk premium in semiconductor valuations; supply-chain disruption fears recede.
market/semiconductor_sell_v1
Military threat score below 25 (Low range) — de-escalation signals; defense sector premium may compress as conflict-related demand subsides.
market/defense_sell_v1
Military threat score below 25 (Low range) — de-escalation signals; defense sector premium may compress as conflict-related demand subsides.
market/defense_sell_v1
Military threat score below 25 (Low range) — de-escalation signals; defense sector premium may compress as conflict-related demand subsides.
market/defense_sell_v1
Military threat score below 25 (Low range) — de-escalation signals; defense sector premium may compress as conflict-related demand subsides.
market/defense_sell_v1
Military threat score below 25 (Low range) — de-escalation signals; defense sector premium may compress as conflict-related demand subsides.
market/defense_sell_v1
Military threat score below 25 (Low range) — de-escalation signals; defense sector premium may compress as conflict-related demand subsides.
market/defense_sell_v1
Military threat score below 25 (Low range) — de-escalation signals; defense sector premium may compress as conflict-related demand subsides.
market/defense_sell_v1
Military threat score below 25 (Low) — cross-strait and peninsula calm reduces geopolitical risk premium in semiconductor valuations; supply-chain disruption fears recede.
market/semiconductor_sell_v1
Military threat score below 25 (Low) — cross-strait and peninsula calm reduces geopolitical risk premium in semiconductor valuations; supply-chain disruption fears recede.
market/semiconductor_sell_v1
Military threat score below 25 (Low) — cross-strait and peninsula calm reduces geopolitical risk premium in semiconductor valuations; supply-chain disruption fears recede.
market/semiconductor_sell_v1
Military threat score below 25 (Low range) — de-escalation signals; defense sector premium may compress as conflict-related demand subsides.
market/defense_sell_v1
Score Explanation
Engine 1.0.0 · Rule hash a3f8c2d1 · Sun, 22 Mar 2026 06:00:00 GMT
Reconstruction Check
Σ contributions = 70.975(reported composite: 72.5)