Lebanon
LowDimension Scores
Rule-based per-dimension breakdown
Dimension Radar
Relative weight of each analytical dimension
Score Trend
30-day composite score history — hover for details
Top Indicators
Highest-contributing signals by weight × decay
Contribution = signal weight × decayed value. Source: rule engine trace.
Evidence Timeline
Source events that contributed to this score
Lebanon: Flash Update #27 - Escalation of hostilities in Lebanon (as of 18 May 2026)
Moderatemilitary/armed_clashLebanon: Flash Update #27 - Escalation of hostilities in Lebanon (as of 19 May 2026)
Moderatemilitary/armed_clashAt least 59 children reportedly killed or injured in Lebanon in the past week despite ceasefire – UNICEF
Moderatemilitary/armed_clashLebanon: Flash Update #25 - Escalation of hostilities in Lebanon (as of 11 May 2026)
Moderatehumanitarian/refugee_movementWHO Lebanon Health Emergency Situation Update #23 (08 May 2026)
Moderatemilitary/armed_clashLebanon Crisis Situation Analysis (Period: 27/04/26 - 03/05/26)
Moderatemilitary/armed_clashLebanon - Zahle - West Bekaa - Reference Map (11/04/2026)
Lowunknown/unmappedLebanon: Conflict Intensity Snapshot (2 March - 19 May 2026)
Lowunknown/unmappedLebanon - Saida - Chouf - Greater Beirut - Reference Map (11/04/2026)
Lowunknown/unmappedCambridge and Alsama Project partner on new school-leaver qualification to help refugees and displaced youth access university, training and jobs worldwide
Moderatehumanitarian/refugee_movementWeWorld Flash Update #4 – Humanitarian needs persist despite Ceasefire (19 May 2026)
Moderatemilitary/armed_clashLebanon: Protection Sector Weekly Response Sitrep #9 - 2 March to 15 May 2026
Lowunknown/unmappedUNRWA Situation Report #10 on the Lebanon Emergency Response 2026 (7 May 2026) [EN/AR]
Moderatemilitary/armed_clashLebanon Crisis Situation Analysis (Period: 04/05/26 - 10/05/26)
Moderatemilitary/armed_clashResearch Terms of Reference: Humanitarian Situation Monitoring of hard-to-reach conflict-affected areas in Lebanon – LBN2601 (March 2026, V 1)
Moderatemilitary/armed_clash“Every minute felt endless”: Pregnant women displaced in Lebanon carry life through crisis
Moderatemilitary/armed_clashLebanon: Middle East Escalation, LTC Situation Report (Telecoms) #06 - Reporting period: 01 - 15 May 2026
Moderatehumanitarian/refugee_movementLebanon - Greater Beirut - Reference Map (05/03/2026)
Lowunknown/unmappedAmel Situation Report #2: Supporting all populations affected by the crisis- March & April 2026
Moderatecyber/incidentLíbano: Israel aplica el manual de instrucciones de Gaza
Moderatehumanitarian/refugee_movementCurrent Supply Routes: Lebanon Operations (as of 12 May 2026)
Moderatecyber/incidentLebanon Health Sector Emergency Situation Report Issue #11 - May 18, 2026
Moderatecyber/incidentWHO Situation Report No.9: Middle East Conflict (1-14 May 2026)
Moderatemilitary/armed_clashWHO Lebanon Health Emergency Situation Update #24 (15 May 2026)
Moderatemilitary/armed_clashLebanon: Flash Update #26 - Escalation of hostilities in Lebanon (as of 14 May 2026)
Moderatehumanitarian/refugee_movementLebanon: Conflict Intensity Snapshot (2 March - 14 May 2026)
Lowunknown/unmappedThe Gaza Playbook: How Israel’s Gaza script is playing out in Lebanon
Moderatehumanitarian/refugee_movementLebanon: Protection Snapshot: Displacement Post-Escalation (16 Apr - 08 May 2026)
Moderatemilitary/armed_clashImpact of the Current Conflict on Gender-Based Violence (GBV) Risks and Needs in Lebanon | GBVIMS Task Force - Lebanon Q1 2026 Analysis
Moderatehumanitarian/refugee_movementLebanon: Middle East Escalation - Global LTC Teleconference (Telecoms Area) #07 (Date: 12 May 2026 Time: 11:00 UTC)
Lowunknown/unmappedMSF condemns Israeli forces’ killing of paramedics in Lebanon
Lowunknown/unmappedLebanon Situation Report - Update #09 (7 - 13 May 2026)
Moderatemilitary/armed_clashUnder Fire and Under-Nourished: Nutrition and Health Needs of Infants, Young Children, and Pregnant and Lactating Women in Lebanon
Moderatecyber/incidentAu Liban, au moins 59 enfants auraient été tués ou blessés au cours des sept derniers jours malgré le cessez-le-feu
Moderatemilitary/armed_clashMiddle East Conflict: Lebanon Response Situation Report #5 | May 13, 2026
Moderatehumanitarian/refugee_movementSweden announces more than SEK 2.7 billion in humanitarian assistance to the world’s most vulnerable
Moderatehumanitarian/refugee_movementUNHCR Facilitated Return of Syrian Refugees - Lebanon, 30 April 2026
Moderatehumanitarian/refugee_movementIRGC-Affiliated Media Report Hezbollah Attack on Iron Dome
Lowunknown/unmappedUN peacekeeping forces prepare to leave Lebanon, but what comes next?
Moderatemilitary/troop_movementThe Doublespeak of Lebanon’s Other Shiite Leader
Lowunknown/unmappedWes Streeting: PM-in-waiting or ‘this generation’s David Miliband’?
Moderatecyber/incidentWes Streeting prepares to launch leadership challenge against Keir Starmer
Lowunknown/unmappedWes Streeting prepares to launch leadership challenge against Keir Starmer
Lowunknown/unmappedWes Streeting prepares to launch leadership challenge against Keir Starmer
Lowunknown/unmappedWes Streeting: PM-in-waiting or ‘this generation’s David Miliband’?
Moderatecyber/incidentLebanon: Flash Update #25 - Escalation of hostilities in Lebanon (as of 11 May 2026)
Moderatehumanitarian/refugee_movementLebanon: Nearly 600 killed since fragile ceasefire agreed | NRC
Moderatemilitary/armed_clashHumanitarian Action for Children 2026 Revision 1 (April 2026) - Lebanon
Moderatemilitary/armed_clashEU invites Taliban members to discuss Afghan migrant returns
Lowunknown/unmappedEU invites Taiban members to discuss Afghan migrant returns
Lowunknown/unmapped
Market Signal Indicators
25 analytical signals · derived from current threat score
⚠ Analytical purposes only — not investment advice. Consult a qualified financial adviser before trading.
Composite threat score below 25 (Low range) — geopolitical calm; safe-haven premium may compress as risk-on appetite returns.
market/safe_haven_sell_v1
Composite threat score below 25 (Low range) — geopolitical calm; safe-haven premium may compress as risk-on appetite returns.
market/safe_haven_sell_v1
Economic threat score below 25 (Low) — geopolitical supply-side risk premium unwinding; energy stocks that outperformed during elevated tension periods may face de-rating as conflict-driven price support recedes.
market/energy_stocks_sell_v1
Economic threat score below 25 (Low) — geopolitical supply-side risk premium unwinding; energy stocks that outperformed during elevated tension periods may face de-rating as conflict-driven price support recedes.
market/energy_stocks_sell_v1
Economic threat score below 25 (Low) — shipping lane normalisation compresses freight rate premium; tanker operators that re-rated on disruption may mean-revert.
market/shipping_sell_v1
Economic threat score below 25 (Low) — supply-chain normalisation reduces critical mineral scarcity premium; REMX and MP may de-rate.
market/critical_minerals_sell_v1
Economic threat score below 25 (Low) — supply-chain normalisation reduces critical mineral scarcity premium; REMX and MP may de-rate.
market/critical_minerals_sell_v1
Economic threat score below 25 (Low) — geopolitical supply-side risk premium unwinding; energy stocks that outperformed during elevated tension periods may face de-rating as conflict-driven price support recedes.
market/energy_stocks_sell_v1
Economic threat score below 25 (Low) — shipping lane normalisation compresses freight rate premium; tanker operators that re-rated on disruption may mean-revert.
market/shipping_sell_v1
Economic threat score below 25 (Low) — geopolitical supply-side risk premium unwinding; energy stocks that outperformed during elevated tension periods may face de-rating as conflict-driven price support recedes.
market/energy_stocks_sell_v1
Economic threat score below 25 (Low) — geopolitical supply-side risk premium unwinding; energy stocks that outperformed during elevated tension periods may face de-rating as conflict-driven price support recedes.
market/energy_stocks_sell_v1
Economic threat score below 25 (Low) — geopolitical supply-side risk premium unwinding; energy stocks that outperformed during elevated tension periods may face de-rating as conflict-driven price support recedes.
market/energy_stocks_sell_v1
Economic threat score below 25 (Low) — shipping lane normalisation compresses freight rate premium; tanker operators that re-rated on disruption may mean-revert.
market/shipping_sell_v1
Military threat score below 25 (Low) — cross-strait and peninsula calm reduces geopolitical risk premium in semiconductor valuations; supply-chain disruption fears recede.
market/semiconductor_sell_v1
Military threat score below 25 (Low range) — de-escalation signals; defense sector premium may compress as conflict-related demand subsides.
market/defense_sell_v1
Military threat score below 25 (Low range) — de-escalation signals; defense sector premium may compress as conflict-related demand subsides.
market/defense_sell_v1
Military threat score below 25 (Low range) — de-escalation signals; defense sector premium may compress as conflict-related demand subsides.
market/defense_sell_v1
Military threat score below 25 (Low range) — de-escalation signals; defense sector premium may compress as conflict-related demand subsides.
market/defense_sell_v1
Military threat score below 25 (Low range) — de-escalation signals; defense sector premium may compress as conflict-related demand subsides.
market/defense_sell_v1
Military threat score below 25 (Low range) — de-escalation signals; defense sector premium may compress as conflict-related demand subsides.
market/defense_sell_v1
Military threat score below 25 (Low range) — de-escalation signals; defense sector premium may compress as conflict-related demand subsides.
market/defense_sell_v1
Military threat score below 25 (Low) — cross-strait and peninsula calm reduces geopolitical risk premium in semiconductor valuations; supply-chain disruption fears recede.
market/semiconductor_sell_v1
Military threat score below 25 (Low) — cross-strait and peninsula calm reduces geopolitical risk premium in semiconductor valuations; supply-chain disruption fears recede.
market/semiconductor_sell_v1
Military threat score below 25 (Low) — cross-strait and peninsula calm reduces geopolitical risk premium in semiconductor valuations; supply-chain disruption fears recede.
market/semiconductor_sell_v1
Military threat score below 25 (Low range) — de-escalation signals; defense sector premium may compress as conflict-related demand subsides.
market/defense_sell_v1
Score Explanation
Engine 1.0.0 · Rule hash a3f8c2d1 · Sun, 22 Mar 2026 06:00:00 GMT
Reconstruction Check
Σ contributions = 70.975(reported composite: 72.5)