South Korea

Low
country·KOR·Score 16.1→ 0.0
Analyst Review
7-day trend:→ 0.0·Engine 1.0.0·Rule hash d1e53fb0

Dimension Scores

Rule-based per-dimension breakdown

MILMilitary
13
DIPDiplomatic
7
ECOEconomic
34
INFInformation
52
HUMHumanitarian
1

Dimension Radar

Relative weight of each analytical dimension

255075Military13.49Diplomatic6.8Economic33.56Information52.15Humanitarian0.69

Score Trend

30-day composite score history — hover for details

025507510019 Apr23 Apr27 Apr

Top Indicators

Highest-contributing signals by weight × decay

humanitarian displacement
41.2
diplomatic withdrawal
38.4
information operations
37.7
cyber intrusion
33.1
troop mobilisation
30.2
diplomatic rhetoric
28.8
sanctions pressure
28.5
trade disruption
26.1

Contribution = signal weight × decayed value. Source: rule engine trace.

Evidence Timeline

Source events that contributed to this score

  1. Korea’s being positioned as logistics base for US-China conflict

    20 May 2026·military·Asia Times
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  2. Gwangju massacre deniers still seek comfort in North plot

    20 May 2026·military·Asia Times
    Moderate
    military/troop_movement
  3. Could a football match soften North Korea-South Korea relations?

    20 May 2026·military·BBC World News
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  4. First of hundreds of detained Gaza flotilla activists arrive in Israel

    20 May 2026·diplomatic·Dawn — Pakistan
    Low
    diplomatic/protest
  5. Tension in Hormuz: Japanese Ship Departs, South Korea Points Finger at Iran

    20 May 2026·military·IranWire — Iran
    Low
    economic/energy_disruption
  6. North Korean women win in South to reach Asian Champions League final

    20 May 2026·military·Al Jazeera English — World News
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  7. Korea’s being positioned as logistics base for US-China conflict

    20 May 2026·military·Asia Times
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  8. Gwangju massacre deniers still seek comfort in North plot

    20 May 2026·military·Asia Times
    Moderate
    military/troop_movement
  9. The Geopolitical Circumstances of Japan-South Korea Rapprochement

    20 May 2026·military·The Diplomat
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  10. Trump-Xi Summit Leaves South Korea Navigating Familiar Pressures

    20 May 2026·military·The Diplomat
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  11. What’s on the Agenda for the 3rd Lee-Takaichi Summit?

    20 May 2026·information·The Diplomat
    Moderate
    cyber/incident
  12. North Korean soccer team appears in rare press conference before game in South

    Moderate
    cyber/incident
  13. South Korea conducts major air drills amid scrutiny over North Korea posture

    Moderate
    military/armed_clash
  14. North Korea ordered to pay $70,300 in damages to five Korean War-era POWs

    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  15. U.N. human rights chief makes first trip to South Korea in 11 years

    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  16. Lee, Takaichi agree to join hands to restore peace on Korean Peninsula

    Moderate
    economic/disruption
  17. South Korea to kick off ‘Taegeuk’ exercise aimed at mitigating North’s threats

    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  18. South Korean soccer team loses to North Korea 2-1 on home turf

    Moderate
    cyber/incident
  19. North Korean women’s soccer team arrives in South for inter-Korean game

    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  20. Iranian hackers targeted major South Korean electronics maker

    13 May 2026·information·Bleeping Computer — Security News
    Moderate
    cyber/apt_activity
  21. Trump arrives in Beijing for high-stakes meeting with Chinese President Xi

    13 May 2026·military·Dawn — Pakistan
    Low
    economic/trade_war
  22. Cannes opens with strong Asian presence and 'Fast and Furious' nostalgia

    13 May 2026·military·France 24 English
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  23. Trump arrives in Beijing for high-stakes meeting with Chinese President Xi

    13 May 2026·military·Dawn — Pakistan
    Low
    economic/trade_war
  24. Trump arrives in Beijing for high-stakes meeting with Chinese President Xi

    13 May 2026·military·Dawn — Pakistan
    Low
    economic/trade_war
  25. Trump arrives in Beijing for high-stakes meeting with Chinese President Xi

    13 May 2026·military·Dawn — Pakistan
    Low
    economic/trade_war
  26. Trump arrives in Beijing for high-stakes meeting with Chinese President Xi

    13 May 2026·military·Dawn — Pakistan
    Low
    economic/trade_war
  27. Trump arrives in Beijing for high-stakes meeting with Chinese President Xi

    13 May 2026·military·Dawn — Pakistan
    Low
    economic/trade_war
  28. Trump arrives in Beijing for high-stakes meeting with Chinese President Xi

    13 May 2026·military·Dawn — Pakistan
    Low
    economic/trade_war
  29. Trump arrives in Beijing for high-stakes meeting with Chinese President Xi

    13 May 2026·military·Dawn — Pakistan
    Low
    economic/trade_war
  30. Trump arrives in Beijing for meeting with Xi, Chinese state media reports

    13 May 2026·military·Dawn — Pakistan
    Low
    economic/trade_war
  31. Trump arrives in Beijing for meeting with Xi, Chinese state media reports

    13 May 2026·military·Dawn — Pakistan
    Low
    economic/trade_war
  32. Ahead of high-stakes visit to Beijing, Trump vows to push Xi to 'open up' China

    13 May 2026·military·Dawn — Pakistan
    Low
    economic/trade_war
  33. ROK air force denies live-fire reduction is linked to diplomacy with North

    Moderate
    cyber/incident
  34. ROK defense chief acknowledges gap with US over command of DPRK wartime response

    Moderate
    cyber/incident
  35. Ahead of high-stakes visit to Beijing, Trump vows to push Xi to 'open up' China

    13 May 2026·military·Dawn — Pakistan
    Low
    economic/trade_war
  36. Trump vows to push Xi to 'open up' China at superpower summit

    13 May 2026·military·Dawn — Pakistan
    Low
    economic/trade_war
  37. Trump expects ‘big, fat hug’ from Xi amid tense agenda

    13 May 2026·military·Dawn — Pakistan
    Moderate
    military/explosion
  38. Les chaînes d’approvisionnement pétrolières asiatiques perturbées par le blocus du détroit d’Ormuz : perspectives pour l’Inde, le Japon et la Corée du Sud

    Moderate
    aviation/airspace_restriction
  39. Borders, nukes and welfare: Inside North Korea’s purported constitution

    Moderate
    cyber/incident
  40. North Korea Has Reaped $13Bln From Military Aid to Russia, South Korean Intelligence Says

    11 May 2026·military·Moscow Times
    Low
    military/defense_procurement
  41. South Korea: We Will Respond to the Attack on Our Cargo Ship

    11 May 2026·military·IranWire — Iran
    Low
    economic/energy_disruption
  42. North Korean workers see significant wage increase, benefits in China: report

    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  43. Middle East crisis live: Trump rejects Iran response to US peace proposal as Tehran warns of new attacks

    11 May 2026·military·The Guardian World News
    Moderate
    military/naval_activity
  44. South Korea says ship was struck by ‘unidentified flying objects’ in Hormuz

    10 May 2026·information·Al Jazeera English — World News
    Moderate
    cyber/incident
  45. What to watch out for at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival

    10 May 2026·military·France 24 English
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  46. What to watch out for at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival

    10 May 2026·military·France 24 English
    Low
    unknown/unmapped
  47. South Korea welcomes rare baby bump as population shrinks

    10 May 2026·information·Dawn — Pakistan
    Moderate
    cyber/incident
  48. North Korea changes constitution to trigger nuclear strike if decapitation of government attempted

    09 May 2026·information·Intellinews
    Moderate
    cyber/incident
  49. Trump's feuds, tensions with allies likely to outlast Iran war

    09 May 2026·military·Dawn — Pakistan
    Moderate
    military/troop_movement
  50. South Koreans gear up to roar on football team from rival North

    08 May 2026·military·Al Jazeera English — World News
    Low
    unknown/unmapped

Market Signal Indicators

15 analytical signals · derived from current threat score

⚠ Analytical purposes only — not investment advice. Consult a qualified financial adviser before trading.

BUY1 instrument
EWYiShares MSCI South Korea ETF (KRX / KOSPI)
composite 16.1

South Korea composite threat score below 25 (Low) — regional geopolitical calm reduces peninsula risk premium; consider EWY exposure.

market/national_equity_buy_kor_v1

SELL14 instruments
GLDSPDR Gold Shares ETF
composite 16.1

Composite threat score below 25 (Low range) — geopolitical calm; safe-haven premium may compress as risk-on appetite returns.

market/safe_haven_sell_v1

TLTiShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
composite 16.1

Composite threat score below 25 (Low range) — geopolitical calm; safe-haven premium may compress as risk-on appetite returns.

market/safe_haven_sell_v1

ASMLASML Holding NV (NASDAQ-listed)
military 13.5

Military threat score below 25 (Low) — cross-strait and peninsula calm reduces geopolitical risk premium in semiconductor valuations; supply-chain disruption fears recede.

market/semiconductor_sell_v1

GDGeneral Dynamics Corp
military 13.5

Military threat score below 25 (Low range) — de-escalation signals; defense sector premium may compress as conflict-related demand subsides.

market/defense_sell_v1

ITAiShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF
military 13.5

Military threat score below 25 (Low range) — de-escalation signals; defense sector premium may compress as conflict-related demand subsides.

market/defense_sell_v1

LHXL3Harris Technologies Inc
military 13.5

Military threat score below 25 (Low range) — de-escalation signals; defense sector premium may compress as conflict-related demand subsides.

market/defense_sell_v1

LMTLockheed Martin Corp
military 13.5

Military threat score below 25 (Low range) — de-escalation signals; defense sector premium may compress as conflict-related demand subsides.

market/defense_sell_v1

NOCNorthrop Grumman Corp
military 13.5

Military threat score below 25 (Low range) — de-escalation signals; defense sector premium may compress as conflict-related demand subsides.

market/defense_sell_v1

PPAInvesco Aerospace & Defense ETF
military 13.5

Military threat score below 25 (Low range) — de-escalation signals; defense sector premium may compress as conflict-related demand subsides.

market/defense_sell_v1

RTXRTX Corporation
military 13.5

Military threat score below 25 (Low range) — de-escalation signals; defense sector premium may compress as conflict-related demand subsides.

market/defense_sell_v1

SMHVanEck Semiconductor ETF
military 13.5

Military threat score below 25 (Low) — cross-strait and peninsula calm reduces geopolitical risk premium in semiconductor valuations; supply-chain disruption fears recede.

market/semiconductor_sell_v1

SOXXiShares Semiconductor ETF
military 13.5

Military threat score below 25 (Low) — cross-strait and peninsula calm reduces geopolitical risk premium in semiconductor valuations; supply-chain disruption fears recede.

market/semiconductor_sell_v1

TSMTaiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSMC ADR)
military 13.5

Military threat score below 25 (Low) — cross-strait and peninsula calm reduces geopolitical risk premium in semiconductor valuations; supply-chain disruption fears recede.

market/semiconductor_sell_v1

XARSPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF
military 13.5

Military threat score below 25 (Low range) — de-escalation signals; defense sector premium may compress as conflict-related demand subsides.

market/defense_sell_v1

Score Explanation

Engine 1.0.0 · Rule hash a3f8c2d1 · Sun, 22 Mar 2026 06:00:00 GMT

Reconstruction Check

military: 29.470diplomatic: 17.025economic: 11.060information: 7.180humanitarian: 6.240

Σ contributions = 70.975(reported composite: 72.5)