Myanmar
LowDimension Scores
Rule-based per-dimension breakdown
Dimension Radar
Relative weight of each analytical dimension
Score Trend
30-day composite score history — hover for details
Top Indicators
Highest-contributing signals by weight × decay
Contribution = signal weight × decayed value. Source: rule engine trace.
Evidence Timeline
Source events that contributed to this score
Sexual Violence Against Rohingya Women and Girls: Emerging patterns of abuse in Arakan Army-controlled areas of Rakhine State
Moderatehumanitarian/refugee_movementSpillover Effects: How the Middle East crisis threatens food security - Focus on Myanmar
Loweconomic/supply_chainMyanmar Crisis Situation Analysis (Period: 04/05/26 - 10/05/26)
Moderatemilitary/armed_clashAttacks on Health Care in Myanmar: 29 April-12 May 2026
Moderatecyber/incidentMyanmar - Earthquake (GDACS, USGS, media) (ECHO Daily Flash of 18 May 2026)
Moderatemilitary/armed_clashMiddle East crisis deepens hunger in Myanmar; EU responds with EUR 8 million for urgent relief | World Food Programme
Moderatehumanitarian/refugee_movementHpa-an District Short Update: Burma Army air strikes and shelling caused damage and displacement in T’Nay Hsah Township (September to December 2025)
Moderatemilitary/armed_clashMyanmar’s resource curse fueling its forever war
Lowunknown/unmappedMyanmar’s Junta Cries Foul as Kim Aris Pleads For Proof His Mother Is Alive
Lowunknown/unmappedBurned, beaten, and hunted: Myanmar worker survives alleged torture in Thailand
Moderatehumanitarian/civilian_violenceMyanmar resistance forces capture police station in Sagaing’s Depayin Township
Moderatemilitary/troop_movementMyanmar junta intensifies attacks along Chin-Magway border
Moderatemilitary/armed_clashBuddhist abbot detained, beaten for defying Myanmar junta ally in Kachin State
Moderatemilitary/troop_movementRival resistance forces launch joint attacks to repel junta advance in Magway
Moderatemilitary/troop_movementClashes flare as Myanmar military attempts to break AA blockade in Kyaukphyu
Moderateeconomic/disruptionChin resistance braces for Myanmar junta offensive as Mindat hit by airstrikes
Moderatemilitary/armed_clashSpillover Effects: How the Middle East crisis threatens food security - Focus on Myanmar
Loweconomic/supply_chainSpillover Effects: How the Middle East crisis threatens food security Focus on Myanmar
Loweconomic/supply_chainUNHCR Regional Bureau for Asia and Pacific: Myanmar Situation Update (Bangladesh, India, Indonesia, Malaysia, Myanmar, and Thailand) January - March 2026
Moderatehumanitarian/refugee_movementMyanmar Landmine and Explosive Ordnance Incidents Information Factsheet (January-December 2025) [EN/MY]
Moderatemilitary/armed_clashOne year after deadly school attack, Myanmar children continue to be the victims of the military’s air campaign [EN/MY]
Moderatemilitary/armed_clash2-Kilogram Ruby Unearthed in Myanmar’s Mogok Mining Town
Lowunknown/unmappedEthnic Groups Are Fleeing Bangladesh’s Chittagong Hill Tracts in Search of Safety in Myanmar
Moderatehumanitarian/refugee_movementMyanmar Crisis Situation Analysis (Period: 27/04/26 - 03/05/26)
Moderatemilitary/armed_clash2 Kilogram of Ruby Unearthed in Myanmar’s Mogok Mining Town
Lowunknown/unmappedMyanmar military intensifies pressure on resistance strongholds southwest of Mandalay
Lowunknown/unmappedOne year after deadly school attack, Myanmar children continue to be the victims of the military’s air campaign
Moderatemilitary/armed_clashWords that dehumanise: The language behind anti-Rohingya hatred in Myanmar
Moderateinformation/operationWords that dehumanise: The language behind anti-Rohingya hatred in Myanmar
Moderateinformation/operationStill excluded, Myanmar regime blasts ‘discriminatory’ treatment by ASEAN
Moderatemilitary/explosionAung San Suu Kyi’s Move to House Arrest Is a Calculated Deception
Lowunknown/unmappedMyanmar junta blocks China border trade routes controlled by MNDAA
Lowunknown/unmappedTiny shifts seen in divided ASEAN’s approach to Myanmar
Lowunknown/unmappedMassive ruby found in Myanmar, where gem mining has links to junta
Lowunknown/unmappedMassive ruby found in Myanmar but gem mining has links to junta
Lowunknown/unmapped'Is she still alive?' Aung San Suu Kyi's son in anguish
Lowunknown/unmappedWhy Aung San Suu Kyi's son did not celebrate her move to house arrest
Moderatecyber/incidentThe Revolution in Bago: A Crucial Battle for Myanmar’s Future
Moderatemilitary/armed_clashAttacks on Health Care in Myanmar: 15 - 28 April 2026
Lowunknown/unmappedInside TikTok's prostitution recruitment networks
Lowunknown/unmappedFamily accuses Myanmar resistance fighters of killing civilian in Bago Region
Lowunknown/unmappedTrump ally Roger Stone condemned for providing lobbying services to Myanmar’s military junta
Lowdiplomatic/threatUN envoy on Myanmar quits as head of top Australian university
Lowunknown/unmappedASEAN looks inwards as Mideast crisis hits home
Lowunknown/unmappedASEAN looks inwards as Mideast crisis hits home
Lowunknown/unmappedTrump-ally Roger Stone condemned for providing lobbying services to Myanmar’s military junta
Lowdiplomatic/threatPhilippines Urges Myanmar to Grant ASEAN Special Envoy Access to Aung San Suu Kyi
Lowunknown/unmappedMyanmar dissidents in Thailand face growing difficulty getting passports
Lowunknown/unmappedFormer FMs, UN experts urge recognition of Myanmar’s ousted president
Lowunknown/unmappedMyanmar Emergency Overview Map - Number of people displaced since Feb 2021 and remain displaced (as of 04 May 2026)
Moderatehumanitarian/refugee_movement
Market Signal Indicators
14 analytical signals · derived from current threat score
⚠ Analytical purposes only — not investment advice. Consult a qualified financial adviser before trading.
Composite threat score below 25 (Low range) — geopolitical calm; safe-haven premium may compress as risk-on appetite returns.
market/safe_haven_sell_v1
Composite threat score below 25 (Low range) — geopolitical calm; safe-haven premium may compress as risk-on appetite returns.
market/safe_haven_sell_v1
Military threat score below 25 (Low) — cross-strait and peninsula calm reduces geopolitical risk premium in semiconductor valuations; supply-chain disruption fears recede.
market/semiconductor_sell_v1
Military threat score below 25 (Low range) — de-escalation signals; defense sector premium may compress as conflict-related demand subsides.
market/defense_sell_v1
Military threat score below 25 (Low range) — de-escalation signals; defense sector premium may compress as conflict-related demand subsides.
market/defense_sell_v1
Military threat score below 25 (Low range) — de-escalation signals; defense sector premium may compress as conflict-related demand subsides.
market/defense_sell_v1
Military threat score below 25 (Low range) — de-escalation signals; defense sector premium may compress as conflict-related demand subsides.
market/defense_sell_v1
Military threat score below 25 (Low range) — de-escalation signals; defense sector premium may compress as conflict-related demand subsides.
market/defense_sell_v1
Military threat score below 25 (Low range) — de-escalation signals; defense sector premium may compress as conflict-related demand subsides.
market/defense_sell_v1
Military threat score below 25 (Low range) — de-escalation signals; defense sector premium may compress as conflict-related demand subsides.
market/defense_sell_v1
Military threat score below 25 (Low) — cross-strait and peninsula calm reduces geopolitical risk premium in semiconductor valuations; supply-chain disruption fears recede.
market/semiconductor_sell_v1
Military threat score below 25 (Low) — cross-strait and peninsula calm reduces geopolitical risk premium in semiconductor valuations; supply-chain disruption fears recede.
market/semiconductor_sell_v1
Military threat score below 25 (Low) — cross-strait and peninsula calm reduces geopolitical risk premium in semiconductor valuations; supply-chain disruption fears recede.
market/semiconductor_sell_v1
Military threat score below 25 (Low range) — de-escalation signals; defense sector premium may compress as conflict-related demand subsides.
market/defense_sell_v1
Score Explanation
Engine 1.0.0 · Rule hash a3f8c2d1 · Sun, 22 Mar 2026 06:00:00 GMT
Reconstruction Check
Σ contributions = 70.975(reported composite: 72.5)