Syria
LowDimension Scores
Rule-based per-dimension breakdown
Dimension Radar
Relative weight of each analytical dimension
Score Trend
30-day composite score history — hover for details
Top Indicators
Highest-contributing signals by weight × decay
Contribution = signal weight × decayed value. Source: rule engine trace.
Evidence Timeline
Source events that contributed to this score
Extensive shooting | Two young men of Bedouin tribes injured on borders between Daraa and Al-Suwaidaa
Moderatecyber/incidentOngoing uprising | Protests erupt demanding the reveal of fates of missing people in Al-Suwaidaa
Lowdiplomatic/protestSyrian Arab Republic — Population Mobility and Baseline Assessment — Round 15 (01 - 30 April 2026)
Moderatehumanitarian/refugee_movementMr. Tom Fletcher, Under-Secretary-General for Humanitarian Affairs and Emergency Relief Coordinator – Briefing to the Security Council on the humanitarian situation in Syria, 15 May 2026
Moderatehumanitarian/refugee_movementDeputy Special Envoy of the Secretary-General for Syria, Claudio Cordone - Briefing to the Security Council (15 May 2026)
Moderatehumanitarian/civilian_violenceSupporting agricultural recovery in Syria (Deir ez-Zor)
Moderatehumanitarian/refugee_movementSyrian Arab Republic: Comprehensive Overview of IDPs and IDP Returns Dashboard (As of 23 April 2026)
Moderatehumanitarian/refugee_movementWFP Syria Monthly Market Price Bulletin, March 2026 - Issue 135
Moderatecyber/incidentComprehensive Overview of IDPs and IDP Returns Dashboard (14/5/2026)
Moderatehumanitarian/refugee_movementSyria: Israel’s deliberate destruction of civilian homes in Quneitra must be investigated as war crimes
Moderatemilitary/armed_clashSyrian Arab Republic - Emergency Mobility Tracking and Cross Border Monitoring Situation Update - Round 11 (18 May 2026)
Moderatehumanitarian/refugee_movementUNMAS and FAO welcome generous funding from the People of Japan to restore agricultural livelihoods in conflict-affected areas in Syria [EN/AR]
Moderatecyber/incidentComprehensive Overview of Refugee Returns Dashboard (14/5/2026)
Moderatehumanitarian/refugee_movementSyria Logistics Sector Meeting Minutes, Damascus, 30 April 2026
Lowunknown/unmappedSyria - Damascus Governorate - Damascus City and Surrounding - Roads Network Map (06/02/2026)
Moderatecyber/incidentAl-Sharaa’s shakeup: A merit-based state, or a circle of trust?
Lowunknown/unmappedThe UAE’s Syrian Gambit
Lowunknown/unmappedChart: Annual Inflation in Syria (2022-2026)
Lowunknown/unmappedCentral Banker Dismissal Highlights Tensions Over Monetary Policies and Governance
Lowunknown/unmappedSyria Introduces New Customs Law, Modernising Administration and Strengthening Anti-Smuggling Operations
Moderatemilitary/armed_clashRising Fuel Prices Deepen Syria’s Cost of Living Crisis
Loweconomic/energy_disruptionProfile: Industrial Cities and Industrial Zones
Moderatecyber/incidentPresidential Decree No. 109 of 2026 Introducing a New Customs Law
Lowunknown/unmappedMay 20, 2026 – Our Press Selection (26 reports, papers, and articles published over the past week on Syria)
Lowdiplomatic/protestDecisions by the E.U. Removing Sanctions on Ministries of Interior and Defence
Moderateeconomic/sanctionNew batch | Hundreds of families displaced from Afrin arrive from Kobani
Moderatehumanitarian/refugee_movementEducation protest | Ariqah students reject transfer of exam centres outside Al-Suwaidaa
Lowdiplomatic/protestSecurity anticipation | Extensive mobilization of “General Security” in Al-Hasakah countryside amid calls for protesting
Lowdiplomatic/protestJustifying regime policies and branding critics as traitors | How media flattery impacts Syrians
Moderatecyber/incidentWithout official explanation | Member of Al-Hasakah Council of Elders dies inside prison of caretaker government
Lowunknown/unmappedMovement of armed group | Primitive oil refineries withdrawn from Al-Rasafa area
Lowunknown/unmappedOld ordnance | Two children injured in explosion of cluster grenade in Daraa
Moderatemilitary/explosionHealth Sector 4W Infographic National Coordinated Response - Jan-March 2026
Lowunknown/unmappedSyria: Reconstruction & Rehabilitation Snapshot National Coordinated Response Q1.2026
Lowunknown/unmappedSyria: Referral Pathway Snapshot - National Coordinated Response Q1 2026
Lowunknown/unmappedWFP scales back food assistance in Syria amid funding shortfalls
Moderatehumanitarian/refugee_movementSyrian Development Fund Key Figures (Q1 – 2026)
Lowunknown/unmappedMay 13, 2026 – Our Press Selection (42 reports, papers, and articles published over the past week on Syria)
Lowunknown/unmappedHealth Sector 4Ws Infographic - Jan -March 2026
Lowunknown/unmappedHealth Sector - Referral pathway_Q1 2026
Lowunknown/unmappedHealth Sector - Reconstruction & Rehabilitation_Q1.2026
Lowunknown/unmappedIn Focus: Business Community in Lattakia and Tartous Navigates Post-Assad Syria
Moderatecyber/incidentIn Focus: Business Community in Lattakia and Tartous Navigates Post-Assad Syria
Moderatecyber/incidentStructure and Assets of the Syrian Sovereign Fund Revealed During Emirati Forum
Moderatecyber/incidentSyrian Arab Republic - Emergency Mobility Tracking and Cross Border Monitoring Situation Update - Round 10 (11 May 2026)
Moderatehumanitarian/refugee_movementSyrian Arab Republic Flood 2026 - DREF Operation Update (MDRSY018)
Moderatehumanitarian/refugee_movementSyria’s First Post-Assad Government Reshuffle Falls Short of Expectations
Lowunknown/unmappedIn Focus: Business Community in Lattakia and Tartous Navigates Post-Assad Syria
Moderatecyber/incidentStructure and Assets of the Syrian Sovereign Fund Revealed During Emirati Forum
Moderatecyber/incidentEU Reinstates Cooperation Agreement with Syria
Moderatecyber/incident
Market Signal Indicators
17 analytical signals · derived from current threat score
⚠ Analytical purposes only — not investment advice. Consult a qualified financial adviser before trading.
Information operations score above 65 — significant cyber or disinformation activity detected; cybersecurity sector demand historically rises in these periods.
market/cyber_buy_v1
Information operations score above 65 — significant cyber or disinformation activity detected; cybersecurity sector demand historically rises in these periods.
market/cyber_buy_v1
Information operations score above 65 — significant cyber or disinformation activity detected; cybersecurity sector demand historically rises in these periods.
market/cyber_buy_v1
Composite threat score below 25 (Low range) — geopolitical calm; safe-haven premium may compress as risk-on appetite returns.
market/safe_haven_sell_v1
Composite threat score below 25 (Low range) — geopolitical calm; safe-haven premium may compress as risk-on appetite returns.
market/safe_haven_sell_v1
Military threat score below 25 (Low) — cross-strait and peninsula calm reduces geopolitical risk premium in semiconductor valuations; supply-chain disruption fears recede.
market/semiconductor_sell_v1
Military threat score below 25 (Low range) — de-escalation signals; defense sector premium may compress as conflict-related demand subsides.
market/defense_sell_v1
Military threat score below 25 (Low range) — de-escalation signals; defense sector premium may compress as conflict-related demand subsides.
market/defense_sell_v1
Military threat score below 25 (Low range) — de-escalation signals; defense sector premium may compress as conflict-related demand subsides.
market/defense_sell_v1
Military threat score below 25 (Low range) — de-escalation signals; defense sector premium may compress as conflict-related demand subsides.
market/defense_sell_v1
Military threat score below 25 (Low range) — de-escalation signals; defense sector premium may compress as conflict-related demand subsides.
market/defense_sell_v1
Military threat score below 25 (Low range) — de-escalation signals; defense sector premium may compress as conflict-related demand subsides.
market/defense_sell_v1
Military threat score below 25 (Low range) — de-escalation signals; defense sector premium may compress as conflict-related demand subsides.
market/defense_sell_v1
Military threat score below 25 (Low) — cross-strait and peninsula calm reduces geopolitical risk premium in semiconductor valuations; supply-chain disruption fears recede.
market/semiconductor_sell_v1
Military threat score below 25 (Low) — cross-strait and peninsula calm reduces geopolitical risk premium in semiconductor valuations; supply-chain disruption fears recede.
market/semiconductor_sell_v1
Military threat score below 25 (Low) — cross-strait and peninsula calm reduces geopolitical risk premium in semiconductor valuations; supply-chain disruption fears recede.
market/semiconductor_sell_v1
Military threat score below 25 (Low range) — de-escalation signals; defense sector premium may compress as conflict-related demand subsides.
market/defense_sell_v1
Score Explanation
Engine 1.0.0 · Rule hash a3f8c2d1 · Sun, 22 Mar 2026 06:00:00 GMT
Reconstruction Check
Σ contributions = 70.975(reported composite: 72.5)